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The MJO Channel - All MJO, all the time (New plots posted daily 9:15am from October 15-March 15)

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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  • Author

Not good. Stalling and looping in torch 7

  • Replies 298
  • Views 6k
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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    I posted a week or so ago that in November NINAs the MJO likes to slow and the RIMMS typically are too fast in the LR.   So the MJO is doing as expected.   I have to see p7 in Dece

  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    Dec will feel like winter.    Lets hope it looks like winter.   I think we will b tracking in December and combine that with BN temps and Christmas all should feel in Holiday spiri

  • Author

Looks like 7 to 4 for December. Never get to 8

1 hour ago, USAwx said:

Not good. Stalling and looping in torch 7

7 is cold most times.

  • Author
Just now, Analog1888 said:

7 is cold most times.

Pb says it isnt

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

Ben Solo says it isnt

Generally, what I've seen, the phases you don't want at all ar3-4-5-6 most of the time.  If it loops in 7 and it's close to 8, it could stay there all winter and you'd do very well.

26 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

7 is cold most times.

Is negative novembers is above average. Not a torch at all but above average. In December it’s cold 

6 minutes ago, Ben H said:

Is negative novembers is above average. Not a torch at all but above average. In December it’s cold 

Yeah November is not all that important IMO

  • Author
2 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Yeah November is not all that important IMO

it is for us skiers. the world isn't just about the plains.

Just now, USAwx said:

it is for us skiers. the world isn't just about the plains.

I told you, skiers don't plan on skiing in November, unless you're going to the Rockies (maybe).

    • Like 1
    • Author
    3 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

    I told you, skiers don't plan on skiing in November, unless you're going to the Rockies (maybe).

    Real skier plan to ski year round.

    2 hours ago, USAwx said:

    Not good. Stalling and looping in torch 7

     

    p7 in November is cool.

    In December p7 is cold 

    • Like 3
    • Author
    2 minutes ago, THE GREAT PB said:

     

    p7 in November is cool.

    In December p7 is cold 

    you literally said yesterday p7 is a torch

    3 minutes ago, USAwx said:

    you literally said yesterday p7 is a torch

    image.thumb.png.c36cab74ba14a3cb1961b80393961e9c.pngNot a torch

    1 hour ago, USAwx said:

    Ben Solo says it isnt

     

    I just posted on it.

     

     

    7 brings on the strat 

    Screenshot_20251104_180426_Chrome.jpg

    -ENSO 

    p7 in November weakens strat for December 

    -AAM helps weaken strat

     

    Look for December to be - 3 with plenty of blocking 

     

     

     

    Screenshot_20251105_111813_Gallery.jpg

    Screenshot_20251105_111824_Gallery.jpg

    •
    • Like 2
    1 minute ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

    -ENSO 

    p7 in November weakens strat for December 

    -AAM helps weaken strat

     

    Look for December to be - 3 with plenty of blocking 

     

     

     

    Screenshot_20251105_111813_Gallery.jpg

    Screenshot_20251105_111824_Gallery.jpg

     

     

    Color-coded weather forecast map from ECMWF displaying seasonal temperature anomalies for winter period from December 2024 to February 2025 over North America and parts of Europe and Asia with yellow and orange regions indicating warmer anomalies and blue areas showing colder anomalies particularly in central and eastern North America for December centered around 500 hPa geopotential height contours.

    11 minutes ago, amugs said:

     

     

    Color-coded weather forecast map from ECMWF displaying seasonal temperature anomalies for winter period from December 2024 to February 2025 over North America and parts of Europe and Asia with yellow and orange regions indicating warmer anomalies and blue areas showing colder anomalies particularly in central and eastern North America for December centered around 500 hPa geopotential height contours.

     

    I posted it a page back 

     

    This updated forecast was better than last months 

    • Like 1
    2 hours ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

     

    I posted it a page back 

     

    This updated forecast was better than last months 

    Sorry Ben Solo did not see this. December looks good too

    G5Ac9qyXkAEDjn2?format=jpg&name=900x900

    • Like 2

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