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The MJO Channel - All MJO, all the time (New plots posted daily 9:15am from October 15-March 15)

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

Featured Replies

Thats as close as you will ever see Analogs line up.

    • Like 1
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    • Views 6k
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    • THE GREAT PB
      THE GREAT PB

      I posted a week or so ago that in November NINAs the MJO likes to slow and the RIMMS typically are too fast in the LR.   So the MJO is doing as expected.   I have to see p7 in Dece

    • THE GREAT PB
      THE GREAT PB

      Dec will feel like winter.    Lets hope it looks like winter.   I think we will b tracking in December and combine that with BN temps and Christmas all should feel in Holiday spiri

    coming around the mountain...

    mjo_rmm.daily.20251112.png

    •
    • Like 2

    GFS and GEFS stalls in 6

    combphase_noCFSfull.gif

    12 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

    GFS and GEFS stalls in 6

    combphase_noCFSfull.gif

     

    GMON_1.png

    •
    • Like 3

    p7 in December is cold

     

     

     

    image.thumb.png.df9da50296498c4344b000d177a4084b.png

    • Like 1
    • Author
    20 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

    GFS and GEFS stalls in 6

    combphase_noCFSfull.gif

    Yea. Ski trip over. P6 is an absolute torch up and down east coast 

    image.thumb.png.867bf0de5e79d724b901c9a6def01662.pngimage.thumb.png.04d64423633b2c4987479111d4839c74.pngP6 not a torch for December or November Josh 

    The MJO likes to slow in November. 

     

    p6 was always warm.

     

    But once into p7 as the EPO goes negative the cold will come

     

     

    4SD...

     

     

    image.thumb.png.b78dc74b6009b2187d6c5fa9a5b53cfb.png

     

     

    That's why I believed Dec 1st ish

     

    Not Pre T Giving 

     

     

     

    • Like 2
    • Author
    Just now, Ben H said:

    image.thumb.png.867bf0de5e79d724b901c9a6def01662.pngimage.thumb.png.04d64423633b2c4987479111d4839c74.pngP6 not a torch for December or November Josh 

    The how come models have massive cutters and floods for the skis 

    1 minute ago, USAwx said:

    The how come models have massive cutters and floods for the skis 

    1.) they’re fake

    2.) the mjo isn’t the main driver 

    • Author
    2 minutes ago, Ben H said:

    1.) they’re fake

    2.) the mjo isn’t the main driver 

    So what do I do?

    Just now, USAwx said:

    So what do I do?

    Wax your skis 

    27 minutes ago, USAwx said:

    The how come models have massive cutters and floods for the skis 

     

    +EPO

    • Like 1
    • Thumbs Down 1
    1 hour ago, USAwx said:

    @jjvesnow

     

     

    @TheBomber656

     

    Get all this mjo stuff in tje correct thread

     

    Can you people please post in the right spot one time

    HANDLED @USAwx

    • Author
    Just now, dbc said:

    HANDLED @USAwx

    you're the only one that cares

    • Like 1
    1 minute ago, USAwx said:

    you're the only one that cares

    I also have been rooting for your ski trip @USAwx.

     

    I hate torched Thanksgivings!

    • Author
    1 minute ago, dbc said:

    I also have been rooting for your ski trip @USAwx.

     

    I hate torched Thanksgivings!

    ski trip is cancelled. Even Stowe says big rains and storms coming

     

    Our targeted opening day for the 2025-2026 winter season is Saturday, November 22 (weather permitting). 

    Wow, what a November storm that was!  Another 7” was observed accumulating over the past 24 hours, bringing our 48-hour storm total to 16” since Wednesday morning.  The Mansfield summit stake is showing just shy of two feet of settled depth on the ground, which is the 3rd highest snow depth for this date since records started in 1954.

    Our snowmaking team continues to supplement Mother Nature’s efforts, though the higher humidity and marginal temperatures during this latest snow cycle have kept them on the upper half of the mountain.  This morning, they are currently making snow on Upper Lord, Ridgeview, and Lord down to the top terminal of the Sunrise Six where wet-bulb temperatures are hovering around 26 degrees. There are also guns running on upper Main Street.

    The forecast calls for temperatures to largely hold where they are throughout the day before cooling off nicely tonight.  It looks like we will get a chance for some more snowmaking runtime in the base area after midnight tonight and into midday tomorrow before readings start to rise again.  A messy system will approach the area tomorrow night into Sunday, with a wintry mix changing to rain showers.  That will likely cause a pause in snowmaking that should be relatively short-lived.  Cold air returns with more upslope snow showers developing on Sunday afternoon.

    The good news is Sunday night into Tuesday looks nice and cold, with continued snow showers.  That period should give us additional snowmaking chances in the base area, with constant runtime expected throughout on the upper mountain.  The primary objective continues building depth top-to-bottom on the 2,100 vertical foot Lord to North Slope route off the FourRunner Quad, as well as beginner/learning terrain at Spruce Peak when those temperatures allow.

    We will continue to update the snow report as weather and operations warrant going forward.

    • My God 1
    2 hours ago, dbc said:

    I also have been rooting for your ski trip @USAwx.

     

    I hate torched Thanksgivings!

    some years with a torch Thanksgiving day...

    2020...

    2015...

    2009...

    2007...

    2004...

    1992...

    1987...

    1983...

    1979...

    1973...

    1968...

    1966...

    1957...

    1933...

    1934...

    1935...

    • My God 1
    27 minutes ago, uncle w said:

    some years with a torch Thanksgiving day...

    2020...

    2015...

    2009...

    2007...

    2004...

    1992...

    1987...

    1983...

    1979...

    1973...

    1968...

    1966...

    1957...

    1933...

    1934...

    1935...

    Big mix of winters in there

     Really doesnt matter.

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    https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/8387-the-mjo-channel-all-mjo-all-the-time-new-plots-posted-daily-915am-from-october-15-march-15/
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