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The MJO Channel - All MJO, all the time (New plots posted daily 9:15am from October 15-March 15)

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

Featured Replies

8 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Big mix of winters in there

 Really doesnt matter.

More good than bad…

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    • THE GREAT PB
      THE GREAT PB

      I posted a week or so ago that in November NINAs the MJO likes to slow and the RIMMS typically are too fast in the LR.   So the MJO is doing as expected.   I have to see p7 in Dece

    • THE GREAT PB
      THE GREAT PB

      Dec will feel like winter.    Lets hope it looks like winter.   I think we will b tracking in December and combine that with BN temps and Christmas all should feel in Holiday spiri

    3 hours ago, Analog1888 said:

    Big mix of winters in there

     Really doesnt matter.

     

    3 hours ago, uncle w said:

    More good than bad…

    I was not thinking about how winter will turn out due to a torch Thanksgiving moreso how I like it to be that day. Zaps some of the enjoyment out of the holiday for me if it is overly above normal. Just personal preference. Thanks though for the good analog lesson!

    • Like 1
    Just now, dbc said:

     

    I was not thinking about how winter will turn out due to a torch Thanksgiving moreso how I like it to be that day. Zaps the enjoyment of the holiday for me if it is overly above normal. Just personal preference. Thanks though for the good analog lesson!

    I think heavy rain would be worse...last year it rained...

    • Thumbs Up 2

    Dec will feel like winter. 

     

    Lets hope it looks like winter.

     

    I think we will b tracking in December and combine that with BN temps and Christmas all should feel in Holiday spirit 

    • Like 5
    • Thumbs Up 1
    8 hours ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

    p7 in December is cold

     

     

     

    image.thumb.png.df9da50296498c4344b000d177a4084b.png

    Again for those who look at MJO NDJ on plots 

    here is phase 7 Dec

     

    And how about the outlooks for weeks 3-4

     

    G5vn3hSXcAEMBv_.jpeg

    G5vnnezXkAAuvgE.png

    Screenshot_2025_11_12_at_8_33_14_AM.png

    •
    • Like 4

    image.thumb.png.cd4a2c6248c7bdeb322d58695ef25df8.png

    • Like 2
    19 hours ago, uncle w said:

    some years with a torch Thanksgiving day...

    2020...

    2015...

    2009...

    2007...

    2004...

    1992...

    1987...

    1983...

    1979...

    1973...

    1968...

    1966...

    1957...

    1933...

    1934...

    1935...

    1982 i had 65 degrees

    40 minutes ago, VIRGAMAN said:

    1982 i had 65 degrees

    11/25/82 was Thanksgiving day...it was warm the day before according to local climate data...

    image.thumb.png.3403311c971d04fef8f6ef3215c87d5b.png

    • Like 2

    Awful

    combphase_noCFSfull (1).gif

    5 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

    Awful

    combphase_noCFSfull (1).gif

     

    Lol.

     

    Why do you even post.

    1 hour ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

    image.thumb.png.cd4a2c6248c7bdeb322d58695ef25df8.png

     

    21 minutes ago, Ben H said:

    image.thumb.png.3403311c971d04fef8f6ef3215c87d5b.png

     

     

    Correct 

     

    You can see it on the 850mb wind anomalies. 

     

    • Like 1
    Just now, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

     

    Lol.

     

    Why do you even post.

    Its awful for November

    1 minute ago, Metfan88 said:

    Its awful for November

     

    What's November  ?

     

    Who ever spoke about November lol

    • Like 1
    • Facepalm 1

    MJO

    Screenshot_20251115_201450_Chrome.thumb.jpg.fba0b4c5246ffe697c0ad8139b334082.jpg

     

    PHASE 7 DECEMBER 

     

    Screenshot_20251115_201508_Chrome.thumb.jpg.8d4bd7236bc5f1c293dc3c00bd8690d3.jpg

    • Like 2
    • Thumbs Up 1

    image.thumb.png.fbf7c42fa16f0b53c36904a3f940ebfa.png

    • Like 2
    8 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

    image.thumb.png.fbf7c42fa16f0b53c36904a3f940ebfa.png

    Cold holiday season if this is correct

    • Like 2
    13 minutes ago, Keith P.A said:

    Cold holiday season if this is correct

     

    You can see the TPV is over Manitoba on all the ensembles.

    That may not a bad place w a SER and 5050 early on.

     

    I like December mainly because of the SSW as we head into p8.

     

    • Like 1

     

    • Like 3
    1 hour ago, uofmiami said:

     

     

    Big 

    • Like 2
    • Thumbs Up 1

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