Ive been humping cold and the TPV pressing in.

 

However I am not buying any SW outside 5 days because I dont want to ruin what I have out overall. 

 

I do think Dec 1 - 10 are BN 

(Thats obvious now ) a week ago there was a group that believed the period would be well AN.

 

Now the latest hive are pushing a rapid recovery in temps.

 

There may very well be a slight warmup back to N for a week 

( we will see - because if we go into p8 like I think that would get muted )

 

However the coldest 10 days in December should occur during the 2nd half of December and thats saying something considering whats coming Nov 29 - Dec 10

ICON anyone?

3 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Nice! Following the theme that there is a realistic threat. 

Gfs will have something as well

Looks like it still has a snow threat

3 minutes ago, Tornadojay said:

Looks like it still has a snow threat

Yeah.  Solid 3-6 incher north and west. However, it didnt fully phase either... 

 

Looks fairly good.

Just now, Chris L said:

Looks fairly good.

Yes, with upside...  

CMC looks like a scraper

All options are still on the table

2 minutes ago, Sundog said:

All options are still on the table

 

Yeh I will look Saturday 

3 hours ago, Sundog said:

 

No way to know that yet, all options are on the table

Hey stranger good to see you came out of solitary confinement 😅

3 hours ago, StatenWx said:

Lake effect snow warning here for tomorrow night - Friday.

Got free room in saratoga for xmas hope I see a lot of snow

Gefs

1 minute ago, Metfan88 said:

Gefs

Progressive like the AIFS were at 6z

UKIE is literally nothing.  I am not going to even post it.   

The GFS has a SW every 2 days or so.

That tells me these things are more likely to deamplify more often than not.

 

That may be ok for most of the board but @CooL the GEFS is beginning to hint at blocking.

So I believe we snow over the next 2 weeks here.

 

 

So dont worry or bet on any one system until we are close in, sometimes too many SWs behind ruin the SW in front 

8 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

UKIE is literally nothing.  I am not going to even post it.   

I just looked, 250 miles off the South Carolina coast lol.  Like Sundog said, everything is on the table.