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December map, observations, punch and pie

THE GREAT PB
THE GREAT PB
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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  • Author
10 minutes ago, VIRGAMAN said:

with these types of storms, i start out with snow, transition to sleet then some freezing rain or rain at the end, would say for early December, 75% frozen, 25% liquid if it happens

 

These are just not snows here yet.

 

What a great pattern from the OHV Interior NE and all of New England except the Cape.

 

 

 

 

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  • Author

Another major correction by the GEFS

 

 

Screenshot_20251127_071013_Chrome.jpg

Screenshot_20251127_071008_Chrome.jpg

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    • Author

    gfs-ensemble-all-avg-ne-snow_24hr-4741600.png

    ecmwf-deterministic-ne-instant_ptype-4741600.png

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    • Like 2
    • Author

    ecmwf-ensemble-avg-east-snow_48hr-4741600.png

    ecmwf-ensemble-avg-east-mslp_ens_min-4720000.png

    • Author

    AI 

     

     

    ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-east-mslp_with_low_locs-4720000.png

    could be like the system we had earlier in the month with the low tracking south of us...this time the air is a little colder...

    • Like 1
    22 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

    AI 

     

     

    ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-east-mslp_with_low_locs-4720000.png

    AIFS ens 

     

    image.gif.b204bee1b4aa2f392848534d219e7f09.gif

    • Like 2

    a little snow to rain this time of year is ok...in December 1995 we already had a storm that started as rain and ended as snow...then we got a snow changing to rain event...then another snow to rain event before the 19-20th snowstorm...there has been a lot of snowstorms around the 19th over the years...the 26th is another date with even bigger snowstorms...if faze 8 is real this year maybe this year will be next to snow on these dates...

    • Like 5
    • Author

    AI  

     

     

     

    image.thumb.png.b9dd2af0ac75ddc80ef5254840fef304.png

    • Like 3
    • Mind Blown 1
    3 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

    AI  

     

     

     

    image.thumb.png.b9dd2af0ac75ddc80ef5254840fef304.png

    This looks nothing like op

    image.thumb.png.43009bfc6c07fc478c7d61420e69a3f3.png

     

    This would set up Jan and Feb.

    image.png

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    • Like 2

    Thump

    prateptype_cat-imp.png

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    • Like 4
    1 minute ago, FrankPizz said:

    Thump

    prateptype_cat-imp.png

     

    We have 5 days to get a couple miles press with each run. 

     

    I don't see why this CAN'T snow on the coast, as always on the shore we need some luck on our side. 

     

    Otherwise I'd average 60 inches a season. 

    • Like 4
    • Author
    1 minute ago, Sundog said:

     

    We have 5 days to get a couple miles press with each run. 

     

    I don't see why this CAN'T snow on the coast, as always on the shore we need some luck on our side. 

     

    Otherwise I'd average 60 inches a season. 

     

    I would be looking for 2 things that can help you and I

    One would obviously be some LL cold air press that the models will not see until 3 to 4 days out

     

    And two if we keep crashing vorts in out W it could dampen the heights and keep the easterlies at bay for a bit.

    • Like 2
    • Author

    I carved out Dec 1 - Jan 15

     

    There are no changes to the overall period. 

     

    image.thumb.png.e295084b8e1e714e5aa5a05e8bb51a8e.png

    • Like 2

    Anybody have the 12z ICON?

    Happy turkey day all

    • Like 7

    Happy Thanksgiving to everybody here and their families. 
     

    If I could get a slushy inch or two next week I would be absolutely thrilled. Things are moving along great and this December could be the snowiest since December 2020. 
     

     

    • Like 2
    13 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

    Happy turkey day all

    Looks like snow showers heading in shortly to make it festive. 

    • Like 1
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