Our well below normal temperature pattern for December looks to continue for much of the next couple of weeks. Tomorrow night and Friday look to be our coldest temperatures so far this young winter season. By Friday morning, the lows will be in the low to mid-teens with highs on Friday remaining below freezing. We will also see multiple chances of some light snow over the next couple of weeks. Our first chance of some measurable snow looks to arrive Friday afternoon into the evening. None of these look significant but if they were to occur they would certainly add to the holiday spirit.

Yesterday NYC got 0.78" of rain with a max of 40 and a min of 34...something like this happening in January could give the area 6-8" or more if all snow and 10 degrees colder...I'm cautiously optimistic about the rest of the month...no stop signs in sight...I'll even take nickel and dime events leading up to Christmas...NYC has not seen a White Christmas morning two years in a row since 1963 when it was the fifth in a row...

1 hour ago, uncle w said:

Yesterday NYC got 0.78" of rain with a max of 40 and a min of 34...something like this happening in January could give the area 6-8" or more if all snow and 10 degrees colder...I'm cautiously optimistic about the rest of the month...no stop signs in sight...I'll even take nickel and dime events leading up to Christmas...NYC has not seen a White Christmas morning two years in a row since 1963 when it was the fifth in a row...

0.97 inches here. It was a juicy system.

1 hour ago, uncle w said:

Yesterday NYC got 0.78" of rain with a max of 40 and a min of 34...something like this happening in January could give the area 6-8" or more if all snow and 10 degrees colder...I'm cautiously optimistic about the rest of the month...no stop signs in sight...I'll even take nickel and dime events leading up to Christmas...NYC has not seen a White Christmas morning two years in a row since 1963 when it was the fifth in a row...

I will take a ton of nickel and dimes storms over a teo foot storm anyway, i love the nickel and dime ones

GFS and CMC look like total opposite patterns in the longer range. That is a huge difference, even for day 10. This evolution obviously starts to happen days before this too. Crazy

4 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

GFS and CMC look like total opposite patterns in the longer range. That is a huge difference, even for day 10. This evolution obviously starts to happen days before this too. Crazy

OP GFS has been trying to show a bermuda high se ridge since November at times and it has failed everytime. Example OP gfs had the system Friday night which is way se of us as a cutter 5 days ago

1 minute ago, Keith P.A said:

OP GFS has been trying to show a bermuda high se ridge since November at times and it has failed everytime.

Yes, and even if this run verified verbatim, it is very transient.

D9

Who knows

3 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

D9

Who knows

Look at that parade of highs.

34 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Look at that parade of highs.

CPC has AN here. You lied

1 minute ago, Snowlover76 said:

CPC has AN here. You lied

CPC forecasts AN every month of the year. WTF does that mean "I lied" because a couple people in Washington who can't forecast their way out of a wet paper bag said you'll be above normal?
I'll tell you what, jackass. If you finish above normal for this month, PM me your address, I'll Send you $500 and not post here for six months.

BTW enjoy breaking the 123 year old record low tomorrow morning. Maybe you should go out on the street and dance naked between hits of the meth pipe so you can remember that it actually is cold.

6 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

CPC forecasts AN every month of the year. WTF does that mean "I lied" because a couple people in Washington who can't forecast their way out of a wet paper bag said you'll be above normal?
I'll tell you what, jackass. If you finish above normal for this month, PM me your address, I'll Send you $500 and not post here for six months.

BTW enjoy breaking the 123 year old record low tomorrow morning. Maybe you should go out on the street and dance naked between hits of the meth pipe so you can remember that it actually is cold.

Honestly im pretty concerned for the central Rockies. The CO ski areas are off to an abysmal start.

1 minute ago, Snowlover76 said:

Honestly im pretty concerned for the central Rockies. The CO ski areas are off to an abysmal start.

Again, they're getting snow today. You don't even know what's happening as you type. How can you be this bad?

Just now, Analog1888 said:

Again, they're getting snow today. You don't even know what's happening as you type. How can you be this bad?

Not much. The summit county areas are doing awful so far.

1 minute ago, Snowlover76 said:

Not much. The summit county areas are doing awful so far.

And if it's above normal temps there, that could be good for them.

They actually get more snow in warmish winters than in bitter cold winters.

1 hour ago, FrankPizz said:

GFS and CMC look like total opposite patterns in the longer range. That is a huge difference, even for day 10. This evolution obviously starts to happen days before this too. Crazy

It's because subtle changes over the Pacific are leading to big downstream pattern impacts. If the Aleutian ridge is able to connect, it will allow for the west Canada trough to dig into the west coast. This subtle break in the ridge on the Euro/CMC compared to the GFS is where the difference is coming from.

Just now, SnowMiser123 said:

It's because subtle changes over the Pacific are leading to big downstream pattern impacts. If the Aleutian ridge is able to connect, it will allow for the west Canada trough to dig into the west coast. This subtle break in the ridge on the Euro/CMC compared to the GFS is where the difference is coming from.

I believe I read somewhere that the GFS has bias of connecting ridges.

5 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

It's because subtle changes over the Pacific are leading to big downstream pattern impacts. If the Aleutian ridge is able to connect, it will allow for the west Canada trough to dig into the west coast. This subtle break in the ridge on the Euro/CMC compared to the GFS is where the difference is coming from.

Thank you for this!

1 hour ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

D9

Who knows

lets bump this north about 75 miles and we all cash in, honestly I have nothing to complain about , this has been a very different winter compared to the last few. Many of us saw several days of flurries in November which has not happened in awhile, and to get a snowcover like I have for Dec 2 has been a long time coming, so its all good. You southerners will be next I feel it in my old bones lol