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December map, observations, punch and pie

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28 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

I dont have one

This pattern is useless without snow

agree

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Cold looks latitudinal based.

Northern Bronx has stations reporting 16 degrees.

Even LGA reported 20 degrees at 7AM.

23...

Seeing Southern Del get hammered again with snow drives me nuts.

7 minutes ago, Graupel said:

Seeing Southern Del get hammered again with snow drives me nuts.

I wouldn't be that excited about getting an inch of snow that's going to change to rain and be gone in an hour or two...

18 in Syosset

  • Author

Maybe something to watch

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-mslp_with_low_locs-6167200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-6167200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-vort500_z500-6167200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-mslp_anom-6167200.png

Brrrrr

FB_IMG_1764940623430.jpg

7 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Maybe something to watch

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-mslp_with_low_locs-6167200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-6167200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-vort500_z500-6167200.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-mslp_anom-6167200.png

Something will eventually pop off. Sometimes the models dont show anything and then bam.

-14 this morning when leaving for work at 6am

9 minutes ago, StatenWx said:

-14 this morning when leaving for work at 6am

Is that a record up there?

21 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Is that a record up there?

No idea all I know is that it was cold as hell out.

  • Author
Just now, Brian5671 said:

nice if it verifies! That's not from the southern storm?

Partial IVT look to it

looking ahead the pna is neg while the ao/nao is positive...this makes me think any mild period will come between the 15th-21st...hopefully after that it gets colder again...Dec gets a max of 60 in NYC on average...I'll bet money honey it gets over 50 and maybe 60 during warm up time...if it doesn't come the first half of the month it will come during the second half...the warmest max in 1989 (53) came on the 31st...in 1964 it came Christmas day...it will come but when?...2013 just before Christmas with a super torch...

10 minutes ago, uncle w said:

looking ahead the pna is neg while the ao/nao is positive...this makes me think any mild period will come between the 15th-21st...hopefully after that it gets colder again...Dec gets a max of 60 in NYC on average...I'll bet money honey it gets over 50 and maybe 60 during warm up time...if it doesn't come the first half of the month it will come during the second half...the warmest max in 1989 (53) came on the 31st...in 1964 it came Christmas day...it will come but when?...2013 just before Christmas with a super torch...

Maybe...

But this is still a very cold look close to end of December. However... It looks pretty dang dry

6932fb17ed39a.png

Image

One thing that I am very encouraged about is the snowpack to our west and over our heards in Canada. This is shaping up as a very cold air source that under the right conditions a lock in HP would be massive advantage for storms as we move through winter.

End of the ICON. The cutoff block on top of the cutoff low in the Pacific is a more stable configuration than normal. Could argue this is both a -WPO & -EPO block.

500h_anom.na.png

31 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

End of the ICON. The cutoff block on top of the cutoff low in the Pacific is a more stable configuration than normal. Could argue this is both a -WPO & -EPO block.

500h_anom.na.png

I would like to see more sharpness.

Do you have the maps for December 2010 because from what I remember it was like this up until The Boxing Day blizzard with even a warm rain storm mid month. The prospects for snow that month was very very dim and then before Christmas boom everything just fell into place and got everything set up for the blizzard.

  • Author

17649523574986963616471507470801.png

Duh

22 minutes ago, Andrew said:

I would like to see more sharpness.

Do you have the maps for December 2010 because from what I remember it was like this up until The Boxing Day blizzard with even a warm rain storm mid month. The prospects for snow that month was very very dim and then before Christmas boom everything just fell into place and got everything set up for the blizzard.

Christmas 2010 to January 27th 2011 was the most insane ~30 day snow stretch ever.

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