The GEFS doing this like clockwork

@Sundog the EPS is doing it too.

All of the models are over - weighing the

NINA background state.

That's why you see them all try and bury the trough out west only to be wrong

Have some snow showers moving in. Looks to be back building a little. Ground is starting to show need to whiten it back up.

1 minute ago, PaulTarsus said:

Have some snow showers moving in. Looks to be back building a little. Ground is starting to show need to whiten it back up.

Same kind of thing here. It's so cold the snow stuck instantly.

I’m gonna wait a week before writing off December for a good event. Look how bad the models have been with temps only to correct itself 48-60 hours later. And we’re not talking a few degrees. Gfs continues to try to spit out some ridiculous se ridge. Anyone with a brain knows that’s not happening. If they can’t handle that then there’s no way they’re handling the ~10 day p8 lag and the tanking soi. Let’s see what happens this week. They should start to pick up on the increasing convection around the date line.

I've also noticed that models have been too far east with the extent of the western ridge.

For temps, you guys may not care about that, but it could still definitely impact your weather.

For example, the GFS continues to show the Missouri River as the boundary between cool and warm, and while Iowa and Illinois may be colder relative to normal, we have certainly been well below normal.

The warmth has really been limited to North Platte and west, or near the boundary with the Mountain Time Zone.

Being off by 250-300 miles with a ridge will have impacts downstream.

Let's see what that means and if it continues.

Dig baby dig.

I believe the Blizzard of 1978 came from a clipper that phased with the PV and dug all the way down.

Picked up a surprise half an inch of snow today, off a forecast of a chance of flurries.

Seasonal total now 3.3"

feb 78 as it was developing...

1 hour ago, Analog1888 said:

I've also noticed that models have been too far east with the extent of the western ridge.

For temps, you guys may not care about that, but it could still definitely impact your weather.

For example, the GFS continues to show the Missouri River as the boundary between cool and warm, and while Iowa and Illinois may be colder relative to normal, we have certainly been well below normal.

The warmth has really been limited to North Platte and west, or near the boundary with the Mountain Time Zone.

Being off by 250-300 miles with a ridge will have impacts downstream.

Let's see what that means and if it continues.

Meh

Another round of snow for SoVA. Richmond is on track to be around 5" of snow this season so far and bound to receive about 56% of their yearly average (including this) over the last 2 weeks

4 minutes ago, TheBomber656 said:

Another round of snow for SoVA. Richmond is on track to be around 5" of snow this season so far and received about 56% of their yearly average (including this)

This is disgusting. Truly is.

0.0” and counting

1 minute ago, Ray8002 said:

This is disgusting. Truly is.

At least the only good thing about it is that it will be melted away by next Sunday. There’s no solid cold air in place. NOAA has them in the 50s next Wednesday and in the upper 30s to 40s for the rest of the week.

1 hour ago, Analog1888 said:

I believe the Blizzard of 1978 came from a clipper that phased with the PV and dug all the way down.

Correct

Nice snowstorm for the 16th

Front just came through with some howling winds.

Temps low to mid 20s