Just now, ColdDustNJ said:

The "GFS Hype Machine"

All this should go in the banter thread

Just now, FrankPizz said:

All this should go in the banter thread

I handled it @FrankPizz

1 minute ago, dbc said:

This happens to me everytime. Get excited when models show a SW flow event with a too late of a coastal transfer outside of 6 hours lead time in modeling giving me 8 plus totals only to end up being a miracle if I meet warning criteria.

-NAO, +PNA, -EPO, 50/50 (did we lose any of these favorable indices that I am not aware of?) and we still get what in actuality is a cutter since coastal transfer is too late, weak and too far north. Nothing crashing into the west coast on the goofus to wreck the flow.

Goofus always caves warm in this situation and I was overjoyed last night at 0z when it did not yet cave and similarly at 6z. Euro not much better once it caves at 12z. Same Ole story for these type of storms.

NAM had it pegged like it always does when it says warmer and less snow and more sleet/rain. Canadians last day or so too save for 1 or 2 colder runs and they will follow NAM/Icon/Goofus at 12z if they ever even run.

Overall I am fine with 5 or 6 inches at this point. Who I am kidding, 4 would be joyous. Any snow is good snow. I live across a less than 2 mile wide river from the worst UHI on the planet I should be jumping for joy if I get any snow.😂

I heard people talking about big storms every ten years on the 6's...1996, 2006 and 2016...all over 20" storms...I posted that last fall...I also heard some say on the radio that the top five snowstorms in NYC came in years ending in six...wrong...they forgot 1947, 1961, 1888 and so on...

On 12/26/2025 at 12:33 AM, dbc said:

Looks like someone (maybe, me!) in and around the immediate NYC metro will be getting the first warning criteria snow of the season so I won't break tradition of 26 years of posting on winter weather message boards before a significant snow storm.

For the first time this winter in and around immediate NYC metro, the moment you all have been waiting for has arrived.

Here's the Snow Song's first appearance of the season, enjoy, or 🙄 whatever you like. 😆

[Based on the title song from Supertramp's first album Crime of the Century (1974)]. RIP lead singer Rick Davies who passed earlier this year. This was also one of my dad's favorite bands and songs and he passed on June 10th just 1 month before Rick Davies passed. They were both born in 1944 so this is a little extra sentimental this winter for me.

Now winter's planning, the storm of the century.

Well when, will it be?

Read all about the snow and strong gusty winds.

Yes, It's well worth a fee

So bundle up and see...(loud but brief guitar intrusion)

How it pounds the universe

How it's gone from bad to worse

Who are these mets. of lust, greed and glory

Steal their models and let's see

But that forecast's not right, oh no what's the story?

Well there's a temp. of 43...

(Shut up, that can't be right)

Snow song time!

On 1/24/2026 at 12:47 AM, dbc said:

Uh guys, someone who shall not be named just joined discord. Hint we used to say he had a Mount on his property/ihby.

yes, I have been talking to John, I invited him. he knows my position and how he ripped my heart out 10 years ago. i'm hoping we get some old school content from him

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

yes, I have been talking to John, I invited him. he knows my position and how he ripped my heart out 10 years ago. i'm hoping we get some old school content from him

@USAwx Oh wow ok. No one can deny the knowledge he brings. All I know is we're, at least I am, so proud and grateful to have followed you all those years ago to come here. The lessons learned and the memories tracking winter storms here surpass anything prior to the formation of this message board.

I know you have been going through a hard time personally as have I this last year, as I lost my dad in June so know I and hopefully, everyone here, will always have your back and support you to the best of our abilities.

Go snow and Go NY "Harbaugh football" Giants! 😉

By the way the wife and I ate in Elia on Saturday night the place where the now infamous Harbaugh dinner took place. Unbelievable restaurant and food. It is a party there Saturday nights it seems maybe other nights too. Greek style lean to the food and atmosphere. Felt like I was back in the Greek Islands when I was there for vacation in 2024 just partying nightly lol. @Ag3 @Sundog

Damn. Anal Log got arrested

KHGI

Man pleads no contest to church burglary involving chocol...

A Grand Island man charged after being caught inside a bathroom with chocolate milk and lotion after burglarizing a church has taken a plea deal.Gregory Major,

NORFOLK, Neb. — A Grand Island man charged after being caught inside a bathroom with chocolate milk and lotion after burglarizing a church has taken a plea deal.

Gregory Major, 34, pleaded no contest to attempted burglary and possession of a controlled substance.

According to an arrest affidavit, last September, a Norfolk Police officer responded to Grace Lutheran Church, 416 Park Avenue, regarding a report of a man trespassing inside the church.

21 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

Damn. Anal Log got arrested

KHGI

Man pleads no contest to church burglary involving chocol...

A Grand Island man charged after being caught inside a bathroom with chocolate milk and lotion after burglarizing a church has taken a plea deal.Gregory Major,

NORFOLK, Neb. — A Grand Island man charged after being caught inside a bathroom with chocolate milk and lotion after burglarizing a church has taken a plea deal.

Gregory Major, 34, pleaded no contest to attempted burglary and possession of a controlled substance.

According to an arrest affidavit, last September, a Norfolk Police officer responded to Grace Lutheran Church, 416 Park Avenue, regarding a report of a man trespassing inside the church.

that's not him but funny...

On 1/26/2026 at 12:08 PM, uncle w said:

that's not him but funny...

Yes, if there is one thing I am not, it's bald.

@JWO1288 i didn’t get to see what you wrote when you quoted me in the obs thread. What’s up?

10 hours ago, Analog1888 said:

Yes, if there is one thing I am not, it's bald.

You racist against my people or somethin there boy?

Never gets old. Aruba

5 hours ago, StatenWx said:

You racist against my people or somethin there boy?

No, but I have a lot of hair, more than I actually want, so I just say that anyone who thinks it's me with a picture of a bald guy is going to be hugely disappointed.

Well guys.. I’ll see you soon.. flying down to Tampa Bay to help cover for Jim Cantore on the snow in Tampa.. enjoy the dry and cold weather up here.. I’ll be basking in flakes while you guys are sucking on cirrus

FEB - 8

30 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

FEB - 8

Agree.. first flakes to fly at Miami in 49 years!! I’ll be there to see history..

Just kiddin’

Ozempic is for weak fat people who cant put the goddamn fork down. I wish I had an easy shortcut like that when it came to my alcoholism.

Even worse is how all these people who take Ozempic strut around luke they've worked so hard. No you didnt you went to a fucken doctor.

Not enjoy the horrific long term side effects of big pharma slop being shot into your body with no thought.

@USAwx

Great call by me for my sister in law 45 minutes outside Atlanta. They got 3" today

On 12/22/2025 at 10:50 AM, Snowlover76 said:

January 2026 will be the warmest in recorded history for much of the country. Especially in the plains.

Where is my apology, you little twit? I feel really bad for you. Your "long range" knowledge never goes past five days. We finished January +0.4 here at KOFK, EXACTLY normal.

The warmest in history for much of the country? Tell that to the people in SC who are getting 6-10" of snow today, or the people where we used to live who are getting supply chain problems because the ports are frozen solid and ships can't get in.

If you ever issued a public forecast, you would be sued!