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January 2026 Obs & Disco

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Very dry

  • Replies 1.1k
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  • Yes. I'm back. The last 90 plus days were very difficult. Between my father and own health issues I needed a long break and medicine to help me get back on track. I'm here as long as I feel good.

  • It would be great if we could keep everything here. Threads are much easier to follow, and the continuity really matters. This has become the best weather forum on the internet—hands down—and I’d hate

  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    Beautiful 12z ens runs today

27 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Very dry

Might be fucked for my ski trip to CO in late February. Its 12/30 and winter park is stuck at 9% open. Insanity. Glad im going to Big Sky for a week in March though

Wildfire season is gonna be nuts next year.

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Happy New Year everyone!

Looks like nothing but cutters after January 5th, pattern breaking down more near normal temps by January 10th with cutters 😪Ice Cube Reaction GIF

Transient reshuffle ridging...

IO convection

Winter comes right back after 3 / 4 days

Funny 2 days ago all this talk of huge potential Jan 6-10 and suddenly that vanished like a fart in the wind. Feels like dejavu.

People need to chill. Ya’ll just saw two snowstorms in two weeks. Relax.

29 minutes ago, Graupel said:

People need to chill. Ya’ll just saw two snowstorms in two weeks. Relax.

And that was MORE than many have seen the past THREE WINTERS total here 😆

Still hurts when everyone was screaming a snowmaggedon pattern that vanished in 1 day

7 minutes ago, mattyhans said:

Still hurts when everyone was screaming a snowmaggedon pattern that vanished in 1 day

Yeh. Sorry man

Jumped the gun

Models backed off inside 2 days.

40 minutes ago, Graupel said:

People need to chill. Ya’ll just saw two snowstorms in two weeks. Relax.

DEC

-5

12 YTD

Great month

Jan will be fine - we only lose 5 days because of the IO wave

EPO goes negative and even colder weather follows

Hopefully models bring it back… still time

14 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Yeh. Sorry man

Jumped the gun

Models backed off inside 2 days.

Chris L

18 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Yeh. Sorry man

Jumped the gun

Models backed off inside 2 days.

You have been amazing all winter man. Everyone was saying that not just you. Hopefully second half of January pans out! Thanks for all the work you put in!

Received about an inch of new snow overnight. We have a lull, the have the clipper tonight. 2-5 inches around the area.

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Decembers that had above average snowfall with well below average temperatures...2025 is in some great company...only 1961-62 and 1969-70 failed to reach 30" in Central Park and not get a major snowfall in the city...both were cold...

year......ave temp......snowfall....season...enso

1960..........30.9...............18.6".........54.7"...neutral...

1963..........31.2...............11.3".........44.7"...el nino...

1968..........34.3.................7.0".........30.2"...el nino...

1969..........33.4.................6.8".........25.6"...el nino...

1995..........32.4...............11.5".........75.6"...la nina...

2000..........31.1...............13.4".........35.0"...la nina...

2010..........32.8...............20.1".........61.9"...la nina...

2025..........34.0.................7.2"......................la nina...

.........................................................................

1961..........35.5.................7.7"..........18.1"...neutral neg ...

1966..........35.7.................9.1"..........51.5"...neutral neg ...

2009..........35.9...............12.4...........51.4"....el nino...

2017..........35.0.................7.7"..........40.9"...la nina...

10 minutes ago, PaulTarsus said:

Received about an inch of new snow overnight. We have a lull, the have the clipper tonight. 2-5 inches around the area.

image.png.32d1c75f57aa41744079f1116aea15b0.png

This is the kind of snow I also love that's very rare in the NYC area.

Constant accumulation over a period of several days.

I know its the NAM, but hoping for a miracle

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