January 1Jan 1 6 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:Whatever. Was just asking when the last decent Miller A was.I really cant remember. Was 2016 a Miller A? Not sure if we had ones that rained here and delivered N and W though
January 1Jan 1 3 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:I really cant remember. Was 2016 a Miller A? Not sure if we had ones that rained here and delivered N and W though2021?
January 1Jan 1 2022 Jan 28-29th24 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:Whatever. Was just asking when the last decent Miller A was.Jan28-29th 2022. Last verified blizzard warning here 15”. Ray got 20”
January 1Jan 1 Man id kill for the PDO to go at least neutral. Im convinced thats why the southern jet has mostly been dormant.
January 1Jan 1 Just now, Snowlover76 said:Man id kill for the PDO to go at least neutral. Im convinced thats why the southern jet has mostly been dormant.Yeah it’s been rough of late. Just two winters at or above avg. thus far this decade. At least this year is on track to that thus far.
January 1Jan 1 5 minutes ago, Graupel said:Yeah it’s been rough of late. Just two winters at or above avg. thus far this decade. At least this year is on track to that thus far.From 1970 to 2002, nyc only had 4 winters over 30".
January 1Jan 1 14 minutes ago, Graupel said:Yeah it’s been rough of late. Just two winters at or above avg. thus far this decade. At least this year is on track to that thus far.Big risk with La Nina's is they are very torch prone in the last 3rd of winter. Really need a strong start with them in case that happens.
January 1Jan 1 1 hour ago, Snowlover76 said:When was the last decent Miller A? These endless trash La Nina's seemed to have killed them when they killed the southern jet.Got this from ChatAIHere is a clean, meteorology-based list of well-known Miller Type A storms that affected New York, especially those commonly cited in textbooks, NWS training material, and meteorologist discussions.(There is no official NOAA “Miller A database,” so this list reflects storms with widely accepted Miller A structure.)🌨️ Confirmed / Widely Accepted Miller A Storms Affecting New York1. March 12–14, 1993 – “Storm of the Century”Textbook Miller AGulf Coast origin → single dominant coastal lowHeavy snow statewideNYC: ~10–18″Upstate NY: 20–40″+One of the strongest extratropical cyclones on record2. February 11–12, 2006 – NYC Record BlizzardClassic Miller A trackCoastal low formed in the Southeast and rode northNYC: 26.9″ (all-time February record)Heavy snow across Long Island, Hudson Valley, and upstate3. January 22–24, 2016 – Winter Storm Blizzard of 96Strong Miller A characteristicsOrigin near the Gulf → straight coastal trackNYC: ~27–30″Coastal flooding + blizzard conditions4. December 26–27, 2010 – Christmas BlizzardMiller A–dominant systemRapidly deepened coastal lowNYC: ~20″Severe wind + snowfall, especially NYC/Long Island5. February 6–7, 1978 – Blizzard of ’78Often classified as Miller A or hybrid AMajor snow across NYNYC: ~17″Extreme coastal impacts6. February 4–6, 1961Classic Miller A nor’easterSignificant snowfall across NYNYC: ~15–20″Strong coastal winds7. March 3–5, 1960Strong Miller A coastal stormHeavy snow across NYNYC: ~14″⚠️ Storms Often Confused with Miller A (But Are Usually Miller B)These are NOT Miller A, despite being famous NYC snowstorms:❌ Jan 6–8, 1996 Blizzard → Miller B❌ March 13–14, 2017 (Pi Day Blizzard) → Miller B❌ Feb 8–9, 2013 (Nemo) → Miller B❌ Jan 26–27, 2015 (Juno) → Miller B🧠 Key Takeaway (Important)True Miller A snowstorms are rare in New York, especially in modern times.Most big NYC blizzards are Miller B, not A.👉 The most recent widely accepted Miller A snowstorm in New York is January 2016 (Blizzard of 96).👉 Before that: February 2006.
January 1Jan 1 56 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:From 1970 to 2002, nyc only had 4 winters over 30".An aberration. Most of those years were cold and dry, snow didn't suck because it was torchy. If you change your cutoff to 25 inches you get a ton of winters in that stretch. Don't do a 4 inch move lol
January 1Jan 1 44 minutes ago, Hurricanelover2 said:Got this from ChatAIHere is a clean, meteorology-based list of well-known Miller Type A storms that affected New York, especially those commonly cited in textbooks, NWS training material, and meteorologist discussions.(There is no official NOAA “Miller A database,” so this list reflects storms with widely accepted Miller A structure.)🌨️ Confirmed / Widely Accepted Miller A Storms Affecting New York1. March 12–14, 1993 – “Storm of the Century”Textbook Miller AGulf Coast origin → single dominant coastal lowHeavy snow statewideNYC: ~10–18″Upstate NY: 20–40″+One of the strongest extratropical cyclones on record2. February 11–12, 2006 – NYC Record BlizzardClassic Miller A trackCoastal low formed in the Southeast and rode northNYC: 26.9″ (all-time February record)Heavy snow across Long Island, Hudson Valley, and upstate3. January 22–24, 2016 – Winter Storm Blizzard of 96Strong Miller A characteristicsOrigin near the Gulf → straight coastal trackNYC: ~27–30″Coastal flooding + blizzard conditions4. December 26–27, 2010 – Christmas BlizzardMiller A–dominant systemRapidly deepened coastal lowNYC: ~20″Severe wind + snowfall, especially NYC/Long Island5. February 6–7, 1978 – Blizzard of ’78Often classified as Miller A or hybrid AMajor snow across NYNYC: ~17″Extreme coastal impacts6. February 4–6, 1961Classic Miller A nor’easterSignificant snowfall across NYNYC: ~15–20″Strong coastal winds7. March 3–5, 1960Strong Miller A coastal stormHeavy snow across NYNYC: ~14″⚠️ Storms Often Confused with Miller A (But Are Usually Miller B)These are NOT Miller A, despite being famous NYC snowstorms:❌ Jan 6–8, 1996 Blizzard → Miller B❌ March 13–14, 2017 (Pi Day Blizzard) → Miller B❌ Feb 8–9, 2013 (Nemo) → Miller B❌ Jan 26–27, 2015 (Juno) → Miller B🧠 Key Takeaway (Important)True Miller A snowstorms are rare in New York, especially in modern times.Most big NYC blizzards are Miller B, not A.👉 The most recent widely accepted Miller A snowstorm in New York is January 2016 (Blizzard of 96).👉 Before that: February 2006.We’ve had plenty of less famous storms that were purely Miller A of origin as well. Only the big beasts are memorable. Here is the Jan 27-30 2022 purely miller A ocean storm. The crush the immediate coast & LI
January 1Jan 1 1 minute ago, Sundog said:An aberration.Most of those years were cold and dry, snow didn't suck because it was torchy.If you change your cutoff to 25 inches you get a ton of winters in that stretch.Don't do a 4 inch move lolThe point is, there were very few signifcantly above normal winters during that stretch.I agree with you that most were close to normal. But the thought of having a blockbuster winter was almost dead during that stretch.
January 1Jan 1 16 minutes ago, Sundog said:An aberration.Most of those years were cold and dry, snow didn't suck because it was torchy.If you change your cutoff to 25 inches you get a ton of winters in that stretch.Don't do a 4 inch move lolIm just saying, they went 4 for 32 on above average. 25" is still like an inch or 2 below normal. Then from 2003 to now there have been lots of winters over 30"
January 1Jan 1 10 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:Im just saying, they went 4 for 32 on above average. 25" is still like an inch or 2 below normal. Then from 2003 to now there have been lots of winters over 30"Indeed. What has happened is we went from more dependable normal winters to a rollercoaster ride in the last 30 years. Even though we recorded tons of blockbuster winters during that stretch, we had a bunch of mega duds. Between 1869 and 1995, we had 6 winters in the single digits. That's 126 years, so 6/126 = 4.7%In the last 30 years, we've also had 6 winters in the single digits. 6/30 = 20%I'm not liking the direction we're moving in!
January 1Jan 1 Just now, Sundog said:Indeed.What has happened is we went from more dependable normal winters to a rollercoaster ride in the last 30 years.Even though we recorded tons of blockbuster winters during that stretch, we had a bunch of mega duds.Between 1869 and 1995, we had 6 winters in the single digits.That's 126 years, so 6/126 = 4.7%In the last 30 years, we've also had 6 winters in the single digits.6/30 = 20%I'm not liking the direction we're moving in!Now do that for winters with more than 45".
January 1Jan 1 7 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:Now do that for winters with more than 45".I'd rather go into winter knowing I'll probably see at least 20 inches than crossing my fingers hoping for a 45 inch winter when 90% of the time they're coming in between 10 and 15.If those were the choices I was presented I'd go with the dependaable 20 to 25 every time.
January 1Jan 1 Just now, Sundog said:I'd rather go into winter knowing I'll probably see at least 20 inches than crossing my fingers hoping for a 45 inch winter when 90% of the time they're coming in between 10 and 15.If those were the choices I was presented I'd go with the dependaable 20 to 25 every time.Ok I can understand that.
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