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January 2026 Obs & Disco

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3 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Another coating here as well. Ever since Thanksgiving we have been cold and wintery.

The only thing really missing in the last 4-6 weeks was a bigger snow fall.

Hopefully after this mid winter thaw are chances go up.

Both the EURO and GFS ensembles are showing a -EPO around the 10th..

Agree on the missing the bigger one though I did get 6" on 12/14, up to 15.7" on the season on 10 events which is damn good sitting here on Jan 2nd. Looking forward to a short break from the cold as walking the dog on these days is not always "fun", couple days in the 40s, maybe touch 50 will feel good. Hoping the -EPO pans out and the pattern reshuffle lines us up for at least one area wide 6+" event as we move into mid-winter.

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    Beautiful 12z ens runs today

As I had mentioned yesterday some models were hinting at some snow showers overnight and we did indeed see some overnight which as many have mentioned recoated drives across the area. Here in East Nantmeal we picked up 0.3" of snow (our 8th winter event of the season). We continue with well below normal temperatures through Monday but then see a nice warmup with temperatures trending well above normal for much of next week. Overall the next week or so looks dry with maybe a snow shower chance Saturday night.image.png.aa69c92da8f3acfba4b19937e13b2992.pngimage.thumb.png.600e2e509d7d9335b4873893d4ec99e3.png

I would be worried if we had a warmup like what happened in Jan 2020 and 2023...

2020's January max came on 1/11/20...69 degrees...

2021's January max came on 1/02/21...51 degrees...

2022's January max came on 1/02/22...59 degrees...

2023's January max came on 1/04/23...66 degrees...

2024's January max came on 1/13/24...60 degrees...

2025's January max came on 1/19/25...52 degrees...

..........................................................................................................

January's coolest max temperature since 1950 in NYC...

44 in 1977...

46 in 1971...

47 in 2009...

48 in 1956...

48 in 1969...

49 in 1981...

Low of 14* last night with a fresh coating of white gold

Anyone complaining about winter needs to be brought out back to the wood shed.

12 Winter events since Jan 11th and its been 6.5* BN temperature wise here

I have had snow OTG since Dec 26th and before from Dec 13th until the 20th

Now we have a pull back yes and a reload in the works.

image.png

I got a dusting last night...probably 0.1 or 0.2"...

6 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

Not a good sign is clickbait BAMwx is admitting that.

They go back and forth all the time.

12" for the year so far

1 hour ago, uncle w said:

I would be worried if we had a warmup like what happened in Jan 2020 and 2023...

2020's January max came on 1/11/20...69 degrees...

2021's January max came on 1/02/21...51 degrees...

2022's January max came on 1/02/22...59 degrees...

2023's January max came on 1/04/23...66 degrees...

2024's January max came on 1/13/24...60 degrees...

2025's January max came on 1/19/25...52 degrees...

..........................................................................................................

January's coolest max temperature since 1950 in NYC...

44 in 1977...

46 in 1971...

47 in 2009...

48 in 1956...

48 in 1969...

49 in 1981...

I don't think the number matters, as much as the duration.

For example, I'd rather have two days of 70 than 10 days of 55.

45 minutes ago, amugs said:

Low of 14* last night with a fresh coating of white gold

Anyone complaining about winter needs to be brought out back to the wood shed.

12 Winter events since Jan 11th and its been 6.5* BN temperature wise here

I have had snow OTG since Dec 26th and before from Dec 13th until the 20th

Now we have a pull back yes and a reload in the works.

image.png

While I agree no one should be complaining about winter thus far but note that not all of us have your beautiful blanket of snow for days on end to enjoy with the deep cold.

Right now, mostly everything is bare for me here to your east and has been that way since that very foggy snow-eater day after the last significant snowfall.

1 hour ago, amugs said:

Low of 14* last night with a fresh coating of white gold

Anyone complaining about winter needs to be brought out back to the wood shed.

12 Winter events since Jan 11th and its been 6.5* BN temperature wise here

I have had snow OTG since Dec 26th and before from Dec 13th until the 20th

Now we have a pull back yes and a reload in the works.

image.png

In 2025 I’ve had close to a month of snow cover across both seasons

17673758847878599276646524700522.jpgThat HP would freeze your eyelids shut!

Gfs and cmc have some of us near or in the 60s next weekend…. Wouldn’t be awful for a day or 2 like @Analog1888 said

Still crunching the annual climate numbers for the other Chesco stations but at least here in East Nantmeal our average temperature for 2025 was 52.4 degrees this is the 5th coldest year in my 22 years at this location and the coldest since the 51.7 in 2013.

1767401332162583388443578031440.jpg

1 hour ago, amugs said:

1767401332162583388443578031440.jpg

What is this?

18 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

What is this?

Dec snowfall over the years

4 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Dec snowfall over the years

I'd like to have the key so I know what the colors mean

5 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Dec snowfall over the years

We had a little mini ice storm here today.

Models have a colder pattern by the 12th.

CPC_Week_Three_Four_Temperature_Late_January_Outlook.jpg

CPC_Week_Three_Four_Precipitation_Late_January_Outlook.jpg

4 hours ago, Metfan88 said:

Models have a colder pattern by the 12th.

But dry

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