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January 2026 Obs & Disco

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Today we should be seeing the temperature warming to near normal for early January with highs in the low 40's. We could see some light rain later this evening and into tomorrow morning. We then start a stretch tomorrow with above normal temperatures for the next 4 days through Saturday before we chill back down to normal temperatures to close out the weekend and will stay seasonably chilly all of next week.

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    Beautiful 12z ens runs today

12Z NAM does not have temps much above 40 for most of NNJ thru Fri PM, we may end up with 1 day AN before back into the deep freeze

51 minutes ago, Keith O said:

12Z NAM does not have temps much above 40 for most of NNJ thru Fri PM, we may end up with 1 day AN before back into the deep freeze

N NAO doing its dirty work with +TNH

7 minutes ago, amugs said:

N NAO doing its dirty work with +TNH

EURO

Friday

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Long Range Thread 30.0 - Page 10 1767985200-ux6AvU0vk1E

Real feel

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Saturday
1PM
Real Feel

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Long Range Thread 30.0 - Page 10 1768068000-jyO2zRMGZFk

Temps


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Long Range Thread 30.0 - Page 10 1768068000-RLSvGa4XXTs


12Z GFS .. NNJ/NYC screw job (if you want a few hours of warmth) thanks to easterly winds

floop-gfs-2026010612.sfct-imp.us_ne.gif

Incredible only took 30 years to correct this

IMG_4373.jpg

31 minutes ago, amugs said:

Incredible only took 30 years to correct this

IMG_4373.jpg

It always was the correct amount.

Something to maybe keep an eye on

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1 hour ago, jjvesnow said:

Something to maybe keep an eye on

695d51bac937f.png

695d529690a8e.png

my birthday, it will happen, always snows on my birthday lol even at 95 years old lol

2 hours ago, Chris L said:

It always was the correct amount.

Pt Jervis NY is near high point NJ...it got 99.2" in 1915-16 and 97.3" in 1995-96...

36 minutes ago, uncle w said:

Pt Jervis NY is near high point NJ...it got 99.2" in 1915-16 and 97.3" in 1995-96...

But Port Jervis has much less elevation

1 hour ago, VIRGAMAN said:

my birthday, it will happen, always snows on my birthday lol even at 95 years old lol

My birthday is March 28th and it snowed a few times...more times on March 29th...1959 it snow/sleet 1-2" on the 27th-28th...Easter Sunday was the 29th that year...it snowed/sleet and rain 3"on March 28-29th, 1984...1995-96 it snowed 4" on March 28-29th...Easter Sunday 1970 had 4" of snow...March 29th 1974 had 3" of snow...snows for January 17th here in the city...

1978....2" of snow and rain...

1979....1" of snow...

1985....4" of snow...

1994....1" snow/ice/rain...

2003....1" of snow...

2016....1/2 inch of snow...

2018....1/2 inch of rain and snow...

22 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

But Port Jervis has much less elevation

yes it does...its about 400ft above sea level compared with high point's 2000ft...

3 minutes ago, uncle w said:

yes it does...its about 400ft above sea level compared with high point's 2000ft...

Yeah, that's why, even though the two sites are so close, they really cannot be compared sometimes.

Man this place is dead

41 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

Man this place is dead

We are on discord / usa

7 hours ago, amugs said:

Incredible only took 30 years to correct this

IMG_4373.jpg

Monmouth had 125” in 09-10 😏

1 hour ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

We are on discord / usa

I don't know it is pretty dead there too lol. Torch periods do that I guess.@THE GREAT Ben Solo @Snowlover76

18 minutes ago, dbc said:

I don't know it is pretty dead there too lol. Torch periods do that I guess.@THE GREAT Ben Solo @Snowlover76

Week 2 and week 3 are going to get cold

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-t2m_f_anom_5day-9018400.pngecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t2m_c_anom_7day-9558400.png

Then we may be looking at another weakening of the vortex

image0-2.jpg

Then you may be looking at Feb 2014

.ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-8996800.pngOaXhdti4Ja.webp

26 minutes ago, dbc said:

I don't know it is pretty dead there too lol. Torch periods do that I guess.@THE GREAT Ben Solo @Snowlover76

Im still waiting for that coldest January in years for MBY that I was promised by an alleged meteorologist on here. 7 of my next 10 days have highs forecasted above 50.

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