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January 2026 Obs & Disco

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How the f*** does that assclown Joe bastardi even have a job? Guy is a fucken joke.

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  • Yes. I'm back. The last 90 plus days were very difficult. Between my father and own health issues I needed a long break and medicine to help me get back on track. I'm here as long as I feel good.

  • It would be great if we could keep everything here. Threads are much easier to follow, and the continuity really matters. This has become the best weather forum on the internet—hands down—and I’d hate

  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    Beautiful 12z ens runs today

36 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Week 2 and week 3 are going to get cold

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-namer-t2m_f_anom_5day-9018400.pngecmwf-weeklies-avg-namer-t2m_c_anom_7day-9558400.png

Then we may be looking at another weakening of the vortex

image0-2.jpg

Then you may be looking at Feb 2014

.ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-8996800.pngOaXhdti4Ja.webp

Oh I am on board with you @THE GREAT Ben Solo. Just saying next week or so will likely be on the quiet side as far as storm tracking both here and over at Discord. I have been on your bandwagon since we first started talking winter 2025-26. Excited to head to Florida for a bit starting tomorrow and returning to an already active wintry period. Been a real solid old fashioned winter for the northeast thus far and hopefully soon we all cash in even more.👍

23 minutes ago, dbc said:

Oh I am on board with you @THE GREAT Ben Solo. Just saying next week or so will likely be on the quiet side as far as storm tracking both here and over at Discord. I have been on your bandwagon since we first started talking winter 2025-26. Excited to head to Florida for a bit starting tomorrow and returning to an already active wintry period. Been a real solid old fashioned winter for the northeast thus far and hopefully soon we all cash in even more.👍

Yeah the next 10 days will be slow.

I like the gfs. Alot of potential.

11 hours ago, uncle w said:

My birthday is March 28th and it snowed a few times...more times on March 29th...1959 it snow/sleet 1-2" on the 27th-28th...Easter Sunday was the 29th that year...it snowed/sleet and rain 3"on March 28-29th, 1984...1995-96 it snowed 4" on March 28-29th...Easter Sunday 1970 had 4" of snow...March 29th 1974 had 3" of snow...snows for January 17th here in the city...

1978....2" of snow and rain...

1979....1" of snow...

1985....4" of snow...

1994....1" snow/ice/rain...

2003....1" of snow...

2016....1/2 inch of snow...

2018....1/2 inch of rain and snow...

Thanks Joe that March 27 to 28. 1984 was some storm long duration, and then march 29, 1974 Forcast was for light rain and sleet, got 9 inches of now

EURO loves the I95 corridor for the 19th

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_72 (1).png

5 hours ago, Metfan88 said:

I like the gfs. Alot of potential.

fake model, hump the euro and euro AI better for your sanity

33.2 and light rain yucks at 5 am

GFS !

34 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

GFS !

Loaded 17th thru 24th, 24th perfect HP placement

52 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

GFS !

EPS has a ton of action off the coast for the same time period

image.png

Light snow 25°. Between 4-5” of wet snow overnight.

At least 7 mecs or better on 6z gefs. These two are BECS.

f228.jpg

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2 minutes ago, USAwx said:

At least 7 mecs or better on 6z gefs. These two are BECS.

f228.jpg

Screenshot_20260107_070708_Messages.jpg

Screenshot_20260107_070701_Messages.jpg

OP run would be a lot of rain verbatim, but we know that the OP GFS has been overamplifying a lot of things at that stage.

There's definitely a signal for a big coastal low at that timeframe.

Just now, Analog1888 said:

OP run would be a lot of rain verbatim, but we know that the OP GFS has been overamplifying a lot of things at that stage.

There's definitely a signal for a big coastal low at that timeframe.

It has 11 inches of front end for even parts of coast.

2 hours ago, VIRGAMAN said:

EURO loves the I95 corridor for the 19th

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_72 (1).png

MLK Storm - all good/great winters have this.

22 minutes ago, USAwx said:

At least 7 mecs or better on 6z gefs. These two are BECS.

f228.jpg

Screenshot_20260107_070708_Messages.jpg

Screenshot_20260107_070701_Messages.jpg

IMG_5096.png

  • Popular Post

Yes. I'm back. The last 90 plus days were very difficult. Between my father and own health issues I needed a long break and medicine to help me get back on track. I'm here as long as I feel good.

Moderate snow big flakes.

8 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Yes. I'm back. The last 90 plus days were very difficult. Between my father and own health issues I needed a long break and medicine to help me get back on track. I'm here as long as I feel good.

I hope everything is better for you now!

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