That trajectory is to 7 then 8. Strong large wave so it should make it to 8.

EC AI, GFS AI, and regular GFS all have something at the end of the run, which is rather interesting.

Get a bowling ball under this and boom

58 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

EC AI, GFS AI, and regular GFS all have something at the end of the run, which is rather interesting.

18z gfs has a huge cutter

This looks like all the players are on the field

15 hours ago, USAwx said:

Yes. I'm back. The last 90 plus days were very difficult. Between my father and own health issues I needed a long break and medicine to help me get back on track. I'm here as long as I feel good.

Welcome back. Prayers to you and your family first and foremost!

Gfs

Cmc also shows a coastal

Cmc. Looks Amazing

Some large temperature spreads this morning across the area with lower valley locations like Warwick Township with a low at 25.8 degrees while higher spots like here in East Nantmeal could go no lower than 35.7 degrees. Our mild weather continues through Saturday before we turn back to temperatures not too far either side of average for January by Sunday and through much of next week. We have rain chances increasing by later tomorrow and lasting till toward midnight on Saturday night. This could be one of our more significant rain events in the last few months with some models hinting at over an inch of rain. Looking further ahead it appears likely we turn significantly colder by next weekend but at this point no significant winter events are on the horizon. For those on Team No Snow fingers crossed it stays that way!

15 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

My favorite time frame, based on analogs, was always starting in late Jan. I am not sure when it ends, but Jim Witt says the end of Feb is when the NE gets its biggest storm, so maybe we go for a month or so.

26 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

My favorite time frame, based on analogs, was always starting in late Jan. I am not sure when it ends, but Jim Witt says the end of Feb is when the NE gets its biggest storm, so maybe we go for a month or so.

Week 2 and 3 are very favorable

Not bad

2 minutes ago, THE GREAT PB said:

looks like it's slipping on that

In reviewing this vs what I see at surface there is a lot to like here

1) even though isopleth isn't there, that H5 is closed in Ohio Valley @Tornadojay

2) there is a vort diving in which is the initial kicker on the first surface low but you can see a tug back to the coast. That is getting capture by H5 and that new vort diving in should Fukiwara

3) You also have Sub TPV diving into trough to help out

there is alot to like here

what I really need is a jet map, but icon doesn't distribute 250mb maps

wtf?

@THE GREAT PB you're rich, buy me one

170 hours away...