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January 2026 Obs & Disco

Featured Replies

2 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Too many darn models now. It adds to confusion instead to clearing it. I'm starting to get more annoyed at tracking rather than the fun it used to be.

Cant argue with you there... Its overwhelming at times

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Just now, USAwx said:

This is not a bad map. Positive yes but going neutral

The rule is needs to be neutral by Mississippi River

This is a very workable map

Yeah, not saying its a "bad" map just wish it was better at that hour.

8 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

Too many darn models now. It adds to confusion instead to clearing it. I'm starting to get more annoyed at tracking rather than the fun it used to be.

This is normal if you look back at the development of models of the past 25 years.

Mild temperatures continue today with rain chances increasing this afternoon. A brief break in the rain tonight before we turn chillier with more rain tomorrow into Saturday night. Temperatures turn colder after Sunday with temperatures not too far from normal for mid-January before trending much colder by the end of next week into the weekend. We could see between 0.75” to 1” of rain tomorrow night. Winter weather opportunities start to ramp up by later next week.

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18 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Yeah, not saying its a "bad" map just wish it was better at that hour.

It's 8 days away. You want a bullseye?

See last march. How did that work out?

Some of you people would make a million dollars miserable.

22 minutes ago, Chris L said:

This is normal if you look back at the development of models of the past 25 years.

I get it, but it went from like 3 models to like 30 and all differ slightly in the short range (but can have major consequences) to wildly in the day 6 range. Anyway, back to watching hourly as they roll out, ha!

20 minutes ago, USAwx said:

It's 8 days away. You want a bullseye?

See last march. How did that work out?

Some of you people would make a million dollars miserable.

million dollars aint much these days... ask @THE GREAT Ben Solo lol

9 hours ago, Analog1888 said:

Yesterday we reached 65 degrees out here and today it is snowing and 34, and there

16 hours ago, Analog1888 said:

Yesterday we reached 65 degrees out here and today it is snowing and 34, and there is snow and sleet starting to stick to my deck.

April 8, 2000 75 and sunny, April 9 2000 25 degrees blizzard conditions 6 inches of dry snow, you know as well as me snow can stick even if it's warm before

11 minutes ago, VIRGAMAN said:

April 8, 2000 75 and sunny, April 9 2000 25 degrees blizzard conditions 6 inches of dry snow, you know as well as me snow can stick even if it's warm before

Yeah I never buy that argument that the ground is warm it won't stick. I've seen it too many times.

1 hour ago, FrankPizz said:

I get it, but it went from like 3 models to like 30 and all differ slightly in the short range (but can have major consequences) to wildly in the day 6 range. Anyway, back to watching hourly as they roll out, ha!

AI really made it crazy-used to be NAM RGEM, GFS CMC and Euro-now it's 4x that amt

ENOUGH WITH THE FUCKING BANTER

BITCH COMPLAIN AND TALK ABOUT OTHER SHIT SOMEWHERE ELSE

MODS ARE YOU FUCKING DOING ANYTHING?

We need to

1) slow down the first vort

or

2) speed up the second

EITHER one creates MECS plus IMHO

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7 then 8 then 1

GfsAI

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GFS AI for the 18th

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AI GFS IS A 2 DAY STORM OR MORE

STARTS ON 16, THEN 18 HOURS BREAK, THEN MORE

Just now, jjvesnow said:

GFS AI for the 18th

image.png

you are deliberately not shwing the precursor for the 16th

why? you have an agenda? just beause i like the 16th?

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

AI GFS IS A 2 DAY STORM OR MORE

STARTS ON 16, THEN 18 HOURS BREAK, THEN MORE

The GFS had subtle hints at that on the last run.

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