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January 2026 Obs & Disco

SnowMiser123
SnowMiser123
in Northeast Weather Discussion

Featured Replies

4 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

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    • THE GREAT PB
      THE GREAT PB

      Beautiful 12z ens runs today

    GFS very improved. the H5 is so strong it makes another low as it has SLOWED DOWN and the baro zone comes back to the coast

    69641e3e7b800.png

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    image.png

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    image.png

    This MJO wave is absolutely going to crush the Nina and put us in a moderate to strong Phase 7 then 8 and looks to roll to one as I showed Friday. IF this propagation happens then the pattern should respond to this with a trough over the east coast and a PNA ridge and N AO/NAO block over the Arctic/Greenland region


    Enlarge this imageClick to see fullsize
    Long Range Thread 30.0 - Page 15 1768132800-VTgXEdopbc4

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    22 minutes ago, Tornadojay said:

    Massive squall here

    Same here - 40 mph plus wind gusts and a trace on all colder surfaces - no warning no special statement nada. Visibility was 1/4 less for a few minutes. This is the 5th traceable snowfall this January so far.

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    I didn’t see this early but wow!

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    • Snowman 1

    That is an intense mjo wave impulse. The 200 Chi map along with this are gonna make ty3 models struggle with the pattern. Phase 8 could be moderate to strong.

    IMG_8362.png

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    Where do I sign.

    Keep this trend coming.

    1768586400-1fZVHRqXqds.png

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    Just now, amugs said:

    Where do I sign.

    Keep this trend coming.

    1768586400-1fZVHRqXqds.png

    image.gif

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    Wow! Big change here

    image.gif

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    • My God 1

    Gefs

    1.gif

    gfs-ensemble-all-avg-east-snow_24hr-8597200.png

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    • My God 1
    • Pray 1
    1 minute ago, Ben H said:

    Gefs

    1.gif

    gfs-ensemble-all-avg-east-snow_24hr-8597200.png

    Big change. Good to see.

    Bring on the snow !

    • Like 1

    Sw side of storm extremely potent due to position of the H5. NYC metro in a good spot

    Screenshot_20260111_182410_Chrome.jpg

    Screenshot_20260111_182427_Chrome.jpg

    Screenshot_20260111_182441_Chrome.jpg

    Screenshot_20260111_182503_Chrome.jpg

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    Euro is no good. ULL say north. Looks like aifs now. Unfortunately gfs camp is currently alone.

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    That H5 is too far north

    unless we get some support at 00z, you should totally ignore the gfs

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    https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/8405-january-2026-obs-disco/
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