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January 2026 Obs & Disco

SnowMiser123
SnowMiser123
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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  • USAwx
    USAwx

    Yes. I'm back. The last 90 plus days were very difficult. Between my father and own health issues I needed a long break and medicine to help me get back on track. I'm here as long as I feel good.

  • Jggearhead
    Jggearhead

    It would be great if we could keep everything here. Threads are much easier to follow, and the continuity really matters. This has become the best weather forum on the internet—hands down—and I’d hate

  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    Beautiful 12z ens runs today

5 minutes ago, USAwx said:

f96.gif

Some nice ones in there

Just now, jjvesnow said:

Some nice ones in there

Unfortunately, really means nothing. gfs is on it's own, and while it's h5 matches its output, it's H5 doesn't match anything else

the U.S Gov't could save a lot of money NOT running this model

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    image.gif

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    Looks like nam has a deform forming. It has almost no lead energy. This looks very good.

    Notice the jet moving north right before the deform forms

    Screenshot_20260111_214102_Chrome.jpg

    69645e2492cc4.png

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    Next frame would crash. Look where isobars are pointed

    And it's the nam. Always over amped

    namconus_ref_frzn_neus_52 (3).png

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    image.png

    End of Ukie

    image.png

    image.png

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    18th !

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    5 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

    18th !

    no please!!! My wife is flying out of JFK at 11 am, when is this happening time frame

    A sunny couple of days with seasonably chilly temperatures to start the week with an increasing chance of some combination of rain and then snow by the middle to late week. Temperatures trending to below normal by next weekend.

    image.png.19da78eafbffb24b240047a8a18376d4.png

    image.png

    One thing is it looks damn cold next week and beyond. Appears the Thr threat this week is DOA.

    5 minutes ago, Keith O said:

    One thing is it looks damn cold next week and beyond. Appears the Thr threat this week is DOA.

    cold and dry, but probably Delmarva to NC snowstorms as things may be supressed, there is some digging for thursday thursday night but it looks like rain that can become a big snowstorm in Maine

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    3 minutes ago, VIRGAMAN said:

    cold and dry, but probably Delmarva to NC snowstorms as things may be supressed, there is some digging for thursday thursday night but it looks like rain that can become a big snowstorm in Maine

    I know it's the GFS but this is the TOTAL 15-day snow accumulation from latest run .. I know that CO/Utah finally got some snow recently for the skis but this would nearly be a goose egg for the next 2 weeks.

    gfs_asnow_us_fh384-384.gif

    The NAM will bring the 15th back to life!

    The kicker #4 we need to slow down or round the top of the PNA ridge then it will come back. PAC and Atl are so fast, progressive that there is nothing other than itself to slow it down.

    All pieces of energy especially #3 n 4 are is very poorly sampled areas. Energy doesnt get on land fully until tomorrow noonish.

    17682298495132941709817489790979.png

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    12 minutes ago, Keith O said:

    I know it's the GFS but this is the TOTAL 15-day snow accumulation from latest run .. I know that CO/Utah finally got some snow recently for the skis but this would nearly be a goose egg for the next 2 weeks.

    gfs_asnow_us_fh384-384.gif

    The euro looks pretty much the same

    30 minutes ago, amugs said:

    The NAM will bring the 15th back to life!

    The kicker #4 we need to slow down or round the top of the PNA ridge then it will come back. PAC and Atl are so fast, progressive that there is nothing other than itself to slow it down.

    All pieces of energy especially #3 n 4 are is very poorly sampled areas. Energy doesnt get on land fully until tomorrow noonish.

    17682298495132941709817489790979.png

    Mugs thats deader then dead-man.

    The pattern starts on the 15th that brings in the start of the cold

    But thats NG brother

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    besides a light shower on Thursday, ICON is dry.

    • Like 1

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