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January 2026 Obs & Disco

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  • Yes. I'm back. The last 90 plus days were very difficult. Between my father and own health issues I needed a long break and medicine to help me get back on track. I'm here as long as I feel good.

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    Beautiful 12z ens runs today

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3 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

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MXFSceBYdo.png

1 minute ago, SnowMiser123 said:

MXFSceBYdo.png

Its an outstanding 30 day 500.

The weeklies are -5 with a 12 inch mean for KNYC

Yoi could doubke those snow amounts

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-ne-t2m_f_anom_32day-9817600.png

ecmwf-weeklies-avg-ne-snow_32day-9817600.png

NYC got 36 in Jan 2011

Yum

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Rgem

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Here we go again

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JAN 5 - 12 EPS

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-east-snow_168hr-8219200.png

Today were filled w great 500s and great commentary by some very well respected forecasters

NAOs in NINAs could be dry at times but I posted the STJ for this system earlier

I think it snows b4 this out of the N branch but this one kicks off the STJ influenced SWs

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dates of 6" January snowfalls since 1960...20 storms...seven the first half...thirteen the second half...eleven the last ten days of the month...1/22 had four storms...1/27 had three...

1/1/1971...................6.4".....

1/3/2014...................6.4"....

1/4/2018...................9.8"....

1/7-8/1996............20.2"....

1/10/1965................6.3"....

1/11-12/2011.........9.1"....

1/11-13/1964......12.5"....

1/19-20/1961.........9.9"....

1/19-20/1978.......13.6"....

1/21-22/2014.......11.5"....

1/21/2001................6.0"....

1/22/1987................8.1"....

1/22-23/2016......27.5"....

1/22-23/2005......13.8"....

1/26-27/2011......19.0"....

1/26-27/2015.........9.8"....

1/27-28/2004......10.3"....

1/28-29/2022........8.3"....

1/29-30/1966........6.8"....

1/31-2/1/2021....17.4"....

1 minute ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

The weeklies @SnowMiser123 s 2011 where NYC got 36 that Jan and Tomer 20 - 29 are in agreement

Hence my vote for 30”+

1 hour ago, uncle w said:

dates of 6" January snowfalls since 1960...20 storms...seven the first half...thirteen the second half...eleven the last ten days of the month...1/22 had four storms...1/27 had three...

1/1/1971...................6.4".....

1/3/2014...................6.4"....

1/4/2018...................9.8"....

1/7-8/1996............20.2"....

1/10/1965................6.3"....

1/11-12/2011.........9.1"....

1/11-13/1964......12.5"....

1/19-20/1961.........9.9"....

1/19-20/1978.......13.6"....

1/21-22/2014.......11.5"....

1/21/2001................6.0"....

1/22/1987................8.1"....

1/22-23/2016......27.5"....

1/22-23/2005......13.8"....

1/26-27/2011......19.0"....

1/26-27/2015.........9.8"....

1/27-28/2004......10.3"....

1/28-29/2022........8.3"....

1/29-30/1966........6.8"....

1/31-2/1/2021....17.4"....

Loved the 1978 storm Mets caught by surprise, flood watch cancelled haha

The GFS is not a real model

It should be banned from being posted.

dumbo posted on twitter to keep an eye on Jan 1st

17 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

The GFS is not a real model

It should be banned from being posted.

Euro AI also

44 minutes ago, VIRGAMAN said:

Loved the 1978 storm Mets caught by surprise, flood watch cancelled haha

from January 8th to Feb 7th NYC got six major storms...five with snow...one big blizzard...the stormiest month ever for the winter time...

31 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Euro AI also

The AIs are all over the place

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2 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

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Do you happen to have 7pm map?

4 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

17669661622027517407652865838008.png

@SnowMiser123 @PaulTarsus overperforming clipper perhaps?

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