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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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DC to PB will see 40 to 60 inches from 1 23 to 1 25. Nothing north of there. Go.

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    • CooL
      CooL

      Overrunning to coastal. Arctic temps. Euro just keeps getting better and better. KU inbound!!

    • CooL
      CooL

      I think we got the storm. We have 4 days to up the phasing/qpf

    • SnowMiser123
      SnowMiser123

      The good news is the GEFS mean phases the shortwave over the Midwest - very possible we just had a bad GFS run that will correct in 6 hours.

    12Z:

    ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_49.pngecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_49.png

    18Z:

    ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_48.png

    It's a little slower, which is good in this setup, and the low is about 80 miles west.

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    8 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

    12Z:

    ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_49.pngecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_49.png

    18Z:

    ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_48.png

    It's a little slower, which is good in this setup, and the low is about 80 miles west.

    It won't matter. Only DC and central jersey sees real snow now.

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    Pac is pushing. Again. No phase.

    being in southern Staten Island I'd be on the cusp of this storm...still six days away and it can trend either way...nothing wrong with another moderate snowfall...who cares what DC gets...unless you live there...

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    Feb 2010 cutoff from hell repeat

    Congrats Ray

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    4 minutes ago, uncle w said:

    being in southern Staten Island I'd be on the cusp of this storm...still six days away and it can trend either way...nothing wrong with another moderate snowfall...who cares what DC gets...unless you live there...

    They have gotten every single storm since I can remember. How that doesn't bother you is beyond me

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    Southeastern new England left out of this no chance it comes up our way?

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    51 minutes ago, USAwx said:

    DC to Ben Solo will see 40 to 60 inches from 1 21 to 1 23. Nothing north of there. Go.

    We don’t all jackpot. I live in snow hole USA. Here’s last year. Comical map.

    IMG_3340.png

    7 minutes ago, USAwx said:

    They have gotten every single storm since I can remember. How that doesn't bother you is beyond me

    its not going to happen as modeled now...it could be a DT storm or your storm...AC or DC...

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    EPS were better

    Nice bump north

    image.gif

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    Too many fucking models

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    1 minute ago, USAwx said:

    Too many ******* models

    I don't disagree with this. I remember when we had the MRF and ECMWF twice a day and the NGM and ETA in between and that was it.

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    3 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

    I don't disagree with this. I remember when we had the MRF and ECMWF twice a day and the NGM and ETA in between and that was it.

    I think when we started watching models Euro was once a day..the 12z run..MRF once a day 0z, went out 10 days..AVN which is now the GFS twice a day..5 days out..ETA and NGM twice a day

    the models did very well in 1996...now its 30 years later and there is more confusion than not...

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    Watches up for DC tomorrow. Will see language with amounts up to 40 inches possible

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    Icon a bit better…

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    19 minutes ago, Jefflaw77 said:

    Icon a bit better…

    Would take a massive modeling miss at ultra close range to become a storm for anyone other than PB south.

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