At this rate we might be at 2 inches by tomorrow

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

we knew it was going to move, they will move to one another

there is going to be a massive front end with this

just enjoy it

My target is 10 inches so I don't look like a fckin idiot to the 900 people who asked me what I think we're going to get.

This is more about saving face at this point lol

850s hold serve when the low level jet max pushes through… that is huge.. notice the push of warmer 850s gets halted.. that is what you like to see… tell tale sign of heavy snow is when you have very strong WWA advection pattern with 850 temps holding steady simultaneously

models always move to one another

gfs was too cold

other models may be too warm

BLEND it like beckham

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

At this rate we might be at 2 inches by tomorrow

What did I just say about precip amounts?

AI

Fronto so strong it warms the upper levels?

19 NYC kuchera NYC

gfs

lol

Enjoy!

1 minute ago, Tornadojay said:

850s hold serve when the low level hex max pushes through… that is huge.. notice the push of warmer 850s gets halted.. that is what you like to see… tell tale sign of heavy snow is when you have very strong WWA advection pattern with 850 temps holding steady simultaneously

Excellent post. Let's hope the Goofus has the right idea and the Euro agrees. It would also be really entertaining actually if the global Canadian trends snowier and away from its Meso model. Keeps us all on our toes.

need a big ukie run

just keep it no worse than 12z

Just now, USAwx said:

Not sure if it matters but the sleet line is a little bit south compared to last run

The GFS looks like it’s trying to put the pieces together because I can see sort of your classic nor Easter low level centers trying to form like at 850.. that low level jet establishment will do wonders for forcing and should help lock colder air through the column.. the best we can hope for is that we don’t get into a lull of forcing mechanisms because the warm air will tend to win out

.

MASSIVE front end on GGEM

jesus christ