Euro and nam are last two warm models

Lol what kind of graphics are those, looks like a light flurries event on that map

I think the issue is more the 700 mb drying, as evidenced on the ECMWF, but not on the GFS.

Just now, Sundog said:

Lol what kind of graphics are those, looks like a light flurries event on that map

One hour QPF, it will always look light in winter.

1 minute ago, tmagan said:

I think the issue is more the 700 mb drying, as evidenced on the ECMWF, but not on the GFS.

850 winds too.

But thats not on other guidance now

A lot of plain rain now on the Jersey shore

Euro and NAM. Unbeatable combo

1 minute ago, goldalex said:

Euro and NAM. Unbeatable combo

yeah, Juno worked out so well

Just now, USAwx said:

yeah, Juno worked out so well

100%

In all reality I think the warming is real. Probably like you’ve been saying a blend of the cold and warm models. But anything NYC/LI south ends up mixing at some point. I don’t think the GFS totals are realistic anymore.

6 minutes ago, goldalex said:

100%

In all reality I think the warming is real. Probably like you’ve been saying a blend of the cold and warm models. But anything NYC/LI south ends up mixing at some point. I don’t think the GFS totals are realistic anymore.

they mix and it will pull back and there will be back side snow

the ICON which was the warmest model is now all snow nyc

i should point out that Feb 94 which was also a SWFE into an insanely cold airmass was supposed to mix and even rain, and never did.

Just now, USAwx said:

i should point out that Feb 94 which was also a SWFE into an insanely cold airmass was supposed to mix and even rain, and never did.

I remember that well

And the second piece was supposed to go ots.

9Z SREFs coming in more south than 3z

Maybe the NAM will calm the F down at 12z

36 minutes ago, tmagan said:

One hour QPF, it will always look light in winter.

That's what I get for rushing and not looking at labels lol

thanks

Feb 94 didn't have the press we have now...it had too much pull and still produced...

9z SREFs clearly better than 3z. That's good to see

What was the final outcome of the 6z euro sorry I’m shot

Srefs!!!