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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

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Just now, USAwx said:

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Nice run, but its precip output has been funky the past few days. I'm sorry, but that isn't happeningqpf_acc-imp.us_ne.png

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ukie is the only model showing that hole, and is known to be a model with VERY off precip outputs

Just now, FrankPizz said:

Nice run, but its precip output has been funky the past few days

I saw what the UKMET is doing back in March 2018 where I got literally only 2 inches and everyone around in every direction had like 6 to 10 inches. It's not impossible.

1 minute ago, Sundog said:

I saw what the UKMET is doing back in March 2018 where I got literally only 2 inches and everyone around in every direction had like 6 to 10 inches. It's not impossible.

I have a really hard time believing it. Did it just get upgraded a few days ago? Edit. Got upgraded on the 21st

Went back and looked at the GFS. It has always had the 850 low passing South of LI

3 minutes ago, USAwx said:

ukie is the only model showing that hole, and is known to be a model with VERY off precip outputs

Wonder if it has to do with the 850 low.

3 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I saw what the UKMET is doing back in March 2018 where I got literally only 2 inches and everyone around in every direction had like 6 to 10 inches. It's not impossible.

That was fueled more by dynamic cooling, pretty different setup.

1 minute ago, Analog1888 said:

That was fueled more by dynamic cooling, pretty different setup.

No the precip just died over NYC. I remember it clearly. It was the March 7th event

Anyway I am more interested in tracking the mid levels on models, not their surface output.

2 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Kuchere ukie maps?

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Can't remember if posted but the GEFS still look good area wide

  • Author
1 minute ago, FrankPizz said:

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I mean it's stupid looking

nothing else shows this, so it's a discard

  • Author
Just now, Sundog said:

Can't remember if posted but the GEFS still look good area wide

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Next weekend GFS!!!!

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

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Do you think snow can win out in some of the sleeting areas based off soundings?

4 minutes ago, VIRGAMAN said:

He attracts lightening, expect it lol

Thundersnow may not be totally impossible with this one.

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4 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Stop the banter. Post more models.

Do you guys think the water temps being 38-41 + the strong high models might be overdoing some of this quick warming?

1 minute ago, USAwx said:
  4 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Stop the banter. Post more models.

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