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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

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FV3 would’ve been double digit snowfall across the board

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6 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Do you guys think the water temps being 38-41 + the strong high models might be overdoing some of this quick warming?

I am absolutely not concerned at all with anything related to water temps.. I expect surface winds in this scenario to pretty much lock from the northeast.. my concern would be the mid level layer and development of a due southerly overpowering LLJ (850-700 region generally) with that direction of a wind component.

look at all the warnings that went up, it just a matter of time before we get warnings

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Euro? Come on people. Post the fucking maps

Holly still going all in.

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1 minute ago, Graupel said:

Holly still going all in.

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With a fast transfer like the GFS is shown. It's the only way you get these amounts faster.The transfer the better everything is and you will not know this till game time.Which short range models

2 minutes ago, toad strangler said:

Re-Book flight?

Nah - Only two or three models show this for us in S & C Jersey and only one of them is not fake.

Euro a tick colder compared to 6z

AIFS colder

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