25 minutes ago, Sundog said:

1 inch liquid is 3 inches of sand

But 30mm is 1.2” roughly 3.5 -4” sleet.

My fav model

Kooch

4 minutes ago, Graupel said:

Kooch

Wow would be a lot of snow after I assume

7 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Wow would be a lot of snow after I assume

Yes the hr electricity 51 is posted above it. That’s just the start for NYC and N

let's GO people, need more maps, less Banter, lots of models already out

It's been 200 years since we have seen a map like this

Just now, USAwx said:

It's been 200 years since we have seen a map like this

Absolutely insane how much area the storms going to cover.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, lake effect snow.
  Additional snow accumulations up to one inch, allowing for storm
  total accumulation up to 9 inches. For the Winter Storm Warning,
  heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 12 and 18
  inches.

* WHERE...Hamilton and Northern Herkimer Counties.

* WHEN...For the Lake Effect Snow Warning, until 7 PM EST this
  evening. For the Winter Storm Warning, from 7 AM Sunday to 7 PM
  EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult within lake effect snow
  bands due to snow covered roads, reduced visibility, and blowing
  and drifting snow.  Dangerous travel expected Sunday into Monday
  due to snow covered roadways and low visibility.

12-18” of powder for my area.

These gaps between models in the medium range suck. Least tomorrow we’ll get hrrrrrr and rap

Ukie geps

18Z MODELS ROLLING

WILL BE A BUSY 4 HOURS IN HERE

NO BANTER, NO TALKING TO VIRGAMAN, HE JUST PUKES ON THE SCREEN

LET'S GO!

HRRR at the end of its run, at that point the sleet line is barely touching cape may.

question about model output....Is it possible they are miscalculating the ocean temps off midatlantic, the southeast wind usual kiss of death for coast however the ocean temps are running 5 degrees colder than normal, still kiss of death for immediate coast but could that limit the northern extent just like how they are catching on the primary can't move as far north as it was showing yesterday.

2 minutes ago, NJTom said:

question about model output....Is it possible they are miscalculating the ocean temps off midatlantic, the southeast wind usual kiss of death for coast however the ocean temps are running 5 degrees colder than normal, still kiss of death for immediate coast but could that limit the northern extent just like how they are catching on the primary can't move as far north as it was showing yesterday.

if anything, they are underestimating the dense cold air from the north

but a strong mid level jet will kill anything

Insane moisture transport here