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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

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gfs is warming even with it showing more snow on the back side

it's close to the rgem now

sleet takes it up to the merrit in ct

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1 minute ago, USAwx said:

gfs is warming even with it showing more snow on the back side

it's close to the rgem now

sleet takes it up to the merrit in ct

Warmest it gets.

gfs_T850_neus_11.pnggfs_T700_neus_11.png

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

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I think this is the best case scenario. I hope it's right.

gfs_apcpn_neus_13.png

GFS steady as a rock!

6 to 12 looks like a good mark for the majority of the area below ct wise

Maybe the sleet that we see on the models is mixed snow and sleet and alternates depending on intensity.

That will accumulate at 6 or 7:1, put down a rough base that will be difficult to melt , and look cool as hell to see those huge parachutes coming down.

  • Author

about as steady as you can get between model runs

Just now, USAwx said:

HERPES looks itchy

hrdps_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_48.png

Intense

Herpes is how we get significant snowfall. Epic fronto. Yes will will flip to sleet but Joshua makes a great point heavy rates will wash it out for an hr or 2

  • Author
2 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

Maybe the sleet that we see on the models is mixed snow and sleet and alternates depending on intensity.

That will accumulate at 6 or 7:1, put down a rough base that will be difficult to melt , and look cool as hell to see those huge parachutes coming down.

yes, it is. The layer is SUPER small in the beginning with good rates

i am going to guess it's probably snow and could even dynamically cool a smidge

  • Author
Just now, CooL said:

Herpes is how we get significant snowfall. Epic fronto. Yes will will flip to sleet but Joshua makes a great point heavy rates will wash it out for an hr or 2

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