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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

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3 minutes ago, Jefflaw77 said:

Josh - does the NAVy not run anymore? Didn’t u use that model in such a way? Where the Low has to be over Buffalo to mean anything for us… I can’t exactly recall..

https://www.myfoxhurricane.com/navgem.html

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8 minutes ago, PaulTarsus said:

Wasn't it cancelled in November?

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1 minute ago, Analog1888 said:

Wasn't it cancelled in November?

he must be running it on his own server

Wait - so it does still run? If that’s the case it looks like other models but if my memory serves me correctly you kinda want this over Buffalo, no!

50 minutes ago, Rdd9108 said:

20260120_151632.jpg

GFS contribution to NBM dragging these #'s down in our neck of the woods

Just now, USAwx said:

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Sucks it don’t go out further

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2 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Sucks it don’t go out further

wouldn't have been anything too special

it left all the energy in the south west and missed the phase

but somehow still snows

shows how much of a powder keg we have

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If your expecting epic runs 4 times a day for the next 5 days, you are in the wrong hobby

it will be impossible to keep solutions the same, especially off hours

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biggest gfs run in the past 200 years

I really don't know WTF they are looking at

790634893.jpg

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3 minutes ago, amugs said:

I really don't know WTF they are looking at

790634893.jpg

this is correct. The 12z models today were less amped than the 00z

i agree 10000% with this disco.

  • Author

RGEM would be full on phase

image.png

image.png

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Just now, USAwx said:

this is correct. The 12z models today were less amped than the 00z

i agree 10000% with this disco.

I disagree with their discussion on no north trend in dynamically and Ai models. So the Euro CMC Euro Ai and Ens have all come N.

GFS will show an absolute bomb at HH.

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i do object to them using the gfs for anything. COMPLETE outlier with the southern piece

the other models were a little less phased due to northern stream, not baja low

and you cannot dismiss ANYTHING at day 5

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18 minutes ago, amugs said:

I really don't know WTF they are looking at

790634893.jpg

the comment about the cmc makes no sense, it has this

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_25 (1).png

The thermal gradient is about as good as you can get.. we need the right trigger to cross pollinate across it

IMG_3108.png

Everything about the GFS is better than 12z through 72 hours

AIGFS took big move north

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