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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

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6 minutes ago, tmagan said:

I heard people on local TV saying infrastructure problems with this storm. Other than clearing snow from electrical rail lines, I don't know how this would cause 'infrastructure problems.'

more like loco TV...tune in at 11...I can see that in places where they have just freezing rain...

57 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

18z Graf

snowtot_72.0_bg_NE (1).png

Sorry for question but where can i access the GRAF? Thanks!

24 minutes ago, tmagan said:

I heard people on local TV saying infrastructure problems with this storm. Other than clearing snow from electrical rail lines, I don't know how this would cause 'infrastructure problems.'

Yeah powdery snow is not a big deal unless it's a 1996 type event

7 minutes ago, ChescoWeather said:

I have access via AG2 Trader.

13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Yeah powdery snow is not a big deal unless it's a 1996 type event

I’m going to fill 3 propane tanks and a 10 gallon gasoline tank for my generator to try to jinx off the ice that down here.

00z starting let’s get some good trends specifically the Nam lol

13 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

I have access via AG2 Trader.

Thanks!

Bill Goodman believes that the national weather service totals for Long Island are too high. He could see 6 to 8 inches before it change over to sleep and we may end up getting a couple of inches of sleet after that.

Alan Casper thinks the amounts that Mount Holly put up for 10 to 15 inches along New Jersey coast are not going to verify. He’s thinking places like Tom’s River at three or 4 inches and maybe an outside shot at six but that’s a long shot.

8 minutes ago, Andrew said:

Bill Goodman believes that the national weather service totals for Long Island are too high. He could see 6 to 8 inches before it change over to sleep and we may end up getting a couple of inches of sleet after that.

Alan Casper thinks the amounts that Mount Holly put up for 10 to 15 inches along New Jersey coast are not going to verify. He’s thinking places like Tom’s River at three or 4 inches and maybe an outside shot at six but that’s a long shot.

The crazy sleet totals are pretty cool.

  • Author

Upton basically copying everything I have said

The GFS, which has been consistently
the farthest south with the low and the coldest, has continued
its gradual northward/warmer trend. Almost all of the other
guidance as ticked just slightly south. This suggests that the
guidance is starting to converge on a single solution and
agreement is increasing.

Given these trends, have gone with a blended approach on how far
mixing can get inland. Sometime Sunday evening a snow/sleet mix
is expected to push through Long Island, NYC and most of
northeast NJ. This is due to a warm nose moving in around
700-800mb. Have also kept a chance of light freezing rain
hugging the coast early Sunday night. This is mainly due to the
potential for some drying in the DGZ. This would likely only be
an issue for far southern parts of our area due to air below
the DGZ not being cold enough for snow growth. Farther north it
should not be an issue where even with a drying of the DGZ,
temps in the lower atmosphere should be cold enough for light
snow.


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