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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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Nam looks warmer lol

Nam looks identical to 18z so far

Yepppp this is gonna be bad

Just now, supermeh said:

Nam looks warmer lol

850mb temps are definitely warming faster than 18z.

I'm only looking at mid level temps and soundings

image.png

Heavy sleet

image.png

  • Author

let's see what everything else looks like

nam was the outlier at 18z

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    • Like 1

    4-6 for nyc south before the change over and prob legit a couple of inches of sleet

    Just now, USAwx said:

    let's see what everything else looks like

    nam was the outlier at 18z

    Hrrrrr looked good. Nam has been on its own all day

    image.png

    NAM and GFS can't agree on 850 low handling.

    75-100 mile difference in sfc track between them.

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    • Like 1

    image.png

    Primary is a tad weaker & SE of 18z. Gives the PIT crew a little more breathing room. Unfortunately doesn't help the coast much this run.

    namconus_ref_frzn_neus_fh45_trend.gif

    I really believe the sleet line will be from just south of the city. I think it’s an isothermal snow bomb from the city north.

    • Author

    Sorry but this is not sleet, i don't care what the model says

    image.png

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    • Like 2

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    https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/8408-tracking-historic-dc-and-jersey-blizzard/
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