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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

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UKMET is probably close to as amplified a scenario as you can get. Goes to show the wide ranging possibilities that still exist with a phase & the SE Canada confluence.

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The low over NY is definitely something that will shut snow down faster ukmo_global-sn10_acc-imp-us_ne-2026012100-138.png

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Just now, SnowMiser123 said:

UKMET is probably close to as amplified a scenario as you can get. Goes to show the wide ranging possibilities that still exist with a phase & the SE Canada confluence.

Talked about that NY low all day. It's reall.

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Safe to say euro will be amplified. I could see it riding the apps and bringing rain to coast this run

Almost time to get our hopes up almost every model is showing decent amounts of snow around here nice.

GEFS continues the NW trend at 0z

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7 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Safe to say euro will be amplified. I could see it riding the apps and bringing rain to coast this run

Agree that given the trend with 0z that the Euro should be more amplified than 12z/18z.

It has been consistently less amplified than the UKMET with this storm though, so I'd be a little surprised if it suddenly corrected to a UKMET type outcome.

9 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Safe to say euro will be amplified. I could see it riding the apps and bringing rain to coast this run

With temperatures in the teens, you won't have rain lol saturday night's low is ten degrees only thing I have to worry about. Then, if that's the case, is ice. And we really don't need that. Then, power outages become a problem. Lots of tracking still, so we'll see what happens. But honestly, guys, we don't need the worst case scenario. We all wanna snowstorm, so let's hope for that.

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Ukie still a crush job for most and a near high end NESIS level event

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Following the trend tonight. aIFS north MECSy

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How good has the Ukie been this year? It gives me 8 to 10 out here but I have my doubts.

Euro more amplified than 18z - should be comfortably NW of the previous run.

Euro looks pretty close to the CMC. Big hit for the board.

69706734ec72e.png

4 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

How good has the Ukie been this year? It gives me 8 to 10 out here but I have my doubts.

It did ok for our last storm but was either over or under amped run to run. I find it’s often contrary to other guidance at this range. But it’s been leading the way with amped and the rest are catching up. For now.

Screenshot_20-1-2026_235412_weathermodels_com.thumb.jpeg.f2e08fe141b9066e0cc619c6ff59a83b.jpeg

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