Euro keeps pushing this back 6 hrs but better results each time

Euro!!! Ukie!!!! AI!!!! Let's go

Ukie

There is an incredible jet stream involved with this storm. The surface low CAN be much further away than usual and still produce to the North. In face, you can see we are in between two exit regions here which really helps to expand precip

3 hours ago, Graupel said:

Euro keeps pushing this back 6 hrs but better results each time

More time for the confuence to move out.

ICON continues to come North because instead of making the initial wave the show, it's now focusing on these two vorts

EPS show you the same thing, the euro makes this better further north as it phases the 2nd and third vorts

NAM would have done the same thing

models are clearly becoming less interested in the first piece of energy

17 minutes ago, USAwx said:

There is an incredible jet stream involved with this storm. The surface low CAN be much further away than usual and still produce to the North. In face, you can see we are in between two exit regions here which really helps to expand precip

I love the placement of the LP and HP, slow move and creeping north it appears

6Z GFS Now phasing the 2nd pieces as well

I expect the GFS to catch on sometime tomorrow to what the ukie/cmc/euro see

These two vorts are the show, we hope, if you want snow above Raleigh

The reason it works so much better is your 50/50 has another full day to relax, relent, release!

It's also the difference between cyclogenesis off the coast of the Carolinas pushing east, and cyclogenesis over Texas coming up and reforming

GFS!!!!!

Look at the difference now as it sees the 2nd and third vorts become the main players

Incredible jet at play

fastest jet in 200 years

By 12z, gfs will be a full on blizzard for NYC

Just now, USAwx said:

By 12z, gfs will be a full on snow storm for NYC

and north hopefully😃