1 minute ago, Sundog said:

Why do lows love going to Pittsburgh so much the last 5 years no matter what

Pittsburgh is fine as long as you're north if 195. The sleet line gets to the same latitude of the low, very easy to figure out, and basically never fails.

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

Ukie

Snowstorm for the whole board..can't really complain

From past experience any time heavy snow gets far past Kingston's latitude the coast has some type of issue. I don't like seeing heavy snow all the way to the Canadian border.

Ukie has the lil meso follow up low

On

Icon and gfs no primary like that

Cmc way over done with it

I think ukie too

Use a blend.

Euro will be telling.

1 minute ago, Sundog said:

From past experience any time heavy snow gets far past Kingston's latitude the cosst has some type of issue. I don't like seeing heavy snow all the way to the Canadian border.

This storm is very expanisve across the entire country.

How often do you see snow from Nebraska to Texas to the Carolinas and all the way up the coast?

Just now, USAwx said:

Icon and gfs no primary like that

Cmc way over done with it

I think ukie too

Use a blend.

Euro will be telling.

Yeah the CMC can be worse than the GFS at times.

Jan 96 was super expansive too.. man what a great storm that was.. that storm was still way south and started generating precip so far in advance.. I know this is different.. I’ll take it… this should be one of our best events in quite some time

Just now, Tornadojay said:

Jan 96 was super expansive too.. man what a great storm that was.. that storm was still way south and started generating precip so far in advance.. I know this is different.. I’ll take it… this should be one of our best events in quite some time

March 1993 as well. It was snowing in NJ when the low was still in the Gulf.

10 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Why do lows love going to Pittsburgh so much the last 5 years no matter what

Tell me about it....

I just find that primary hard to believe with the epo we have

Great models so far today. Not worried about the probably over amped on its own cmc atm…. Fun few days coming

Goes from suppressed to over amped in matter of two days .. shocker lol

With that said Models will settle down a bit in next couple days

1 minute ago, BlizzardBill said:

Goes from suppressed to over amped in matter of two days .. shocker lol

Really? Then how come right now the modeled jackpot is in NE MD and SE PA? You want it further south? Do you live in VA?

Just now, Analog1888 said:

Really? Then how come right now the modeled jackpot is in NE MD and SE PA? You want it further south? Do you live in VA?

I was really poking fun at the cmc taking best totals way upstate but either way this is looking like a high end event that will effect many people.

3 minutes ago, BlizzardBill said:

Goes from suppressed to over amped in matter of two days .. shocker lol

Prob meet in the middle

Models move to a mean always

Gfs will move left the others right

I think slightly less amped ukie makes sense

15 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Icon and gfs no primary like that

Cmc way over done with it

I think ukie too

Use a blend.

Euro will be telling.

Yes this is where I am at as well despite what some here think.

Even sleet fest CMC is 6-8 for sleet areas

Heard NBM is bonkers, anyone got the good updated map?