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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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Screenshot 2026-01-21 at 1.53.47 PM.png

That sleet in central jersey at hour 102 on the 12z Euro is fake, at worst it's poor snow growth.

No layer is above freezing.

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    5 minutes ago, Sundog said:

    Screenshot 2026-01-21 at 1.53.47 PM.png

    That sleet in central jersey at hour 102 on the 12z Euro is fake, at worst it's poor snow growth.

    No layer is above freezing.

    How did the cmc profiles look? Cause I just checked it on tidbits and the tidbit maps don’t have sleet like pivotal at all

    6 minutes ago, Sundog said:

    Screenshot 2026-01-21 at 1.53.47 PM.png

    That sleet in central jersey at hour 102 on the 12z Euro is fake, at worst it's poor snow growth.

    No layer is above freezing.

    I would take sleet up to that 1018 isobar. Usually when the thickness is over 543, you sleet.

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    38 minutes ago, Rdd9108 said:

    image.png.a9e60f1163c9e44f2d3f94b213ad265b.png

    Can you post the full northeast view.

    These big ones seem to always have period of sleet further N&W than people think. NAM was good on picking this up with event a few weeks ago, but not till within 48 hours of event.

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    I don't have 12z Euro EPS snowmaps but the snowdepth maps show virtually identical results compared to 6z.

    The quickest members of the new 15z SREFs bring accumulating snow to NYC as early as 1AM Sunday morning.

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    just for shxts and giggles, lifted from the other site

    snku_acc-imp.us_ne.png.3f0e16c90f5f68a3c4c16dadcad3d93d.png

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    • My God 2
    • Author
    27 minutes ago, Sundog said:

    Screenshot 2026-01-21 at 1.53.47 PM.png

    That sleet in central jersey at hour 102 on the 12z Euro is fake, at worst it's poor snow growth.

    No layer is above freezing.

    you are CORRECT good sir but it is VERY close

    image.png

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    NYC is 8 degrees with snow starting on the 12z Euro Sunday morning.

    It brings tears to my eyes

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    15 minutes ago, Sundog said:

    The quickest members of the new 15z SREFs bring accumulating snow to NYC as early as 1AM Sunday morning.

    sref_namer_087_mslp.gif

    29 minutes ago, StatenWx said:

    Can you post the full northeast view.

    I dont have a subscription but is this what you want? 20260121_143304.jpg

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    parent low is very weak if any at all

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    1 hour ago, Rdd9108 said:

    AI

    Everybody wins. Lock it in

    does this account for ratios/

    9 minutes ago, USAwx said:

    parent low is very weak if any at all

    Is that what we want?

    Just now, RonActive said:

    Is that what we want?

    Yes, because then the mid levels would not warm up.

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    https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/8408-tracking-historic-dc-and-jersey-blizzard/
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