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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

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Tad more precip than 12z on the 18z EPS

697165f74aa4b.gif

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Sorry I was wrong

This will act like a SWFE by Friday and your snow wil b gone

ecmwf-deterministic-ma-total_snow_kuchera-1769018400-1769407200-1769407200-20-4.gif

2 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Sorry I was wrong

This will act like a SWFE by Friday and your snow wil b gone

ecmwf-deterministic-ma-total_snow_kuchera-1769018400-1769407200-1769407200-20-4.gif

It’ll be back by tomorrow

Crazy how ensemble and aifs don’t even look remotely close.

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Don't weenie this thread up. We arent even in NAm range at 00z tonight. Lol.

Heres my Analog

Screenshot_20260121_190627_Discord.jpg

1 minute ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Heres my Analog

Screenshot_20260121_190627_Discord.jpg

Except there is virtually nothing similar about the setup.

I really hope you are kidding/trolling, but I don't like when you get your panties in a wad because you're not in the JP zone, that's bush league,

2 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Heres my Analog

Screenshot_20260121_190627_Discord.jpg

Great storm. Despite mixing with sleet and rain ended up with 8” OTG the next morning.

Meanwhile Nbm 90% chance of 15 for many lol

image.png

The people at CIPS Analog guidance, speaking of analogs, seem to like 1/2/2014 as their top analog.

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Meanwhile Nbm 90% chance of 15 for many lol

image.png

If this holds overnight, 2-3 more cycles, I am going all in and BIG tomorrow.

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Meanwhile Nbm 90% chance of 15 for many lol

image.png

These maps have been spectacularly wrong in the past

Big grain o salt

Just now, danstorm said:

These maps have been spectacularly wrong in the past

Big grain o salt

I don't have much experience with the NBM probability maps, but IMO, the individual guidance has been really, really good with snowfall accumulation.

7 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Don't weenie this thread up. We arent even in NAm range at 00z tonight. Lol.

Still a good spread. Some member really hold on to that primary

image.gif

1 minute ago, danstorm said:

These maps have been spectacularly wrong in the past

Big grain o salt

I figured, just posting maps while we’re in downtime lol

5 minutes ago, Analog1888 said:

The people at CIPS Analog guidance, speaking of analogs, seem to like 1/2/2014 as their top analog.

Very cold storm. Snowed at 9 degrees here. Ended up with 11”.

Just now, Graupel said:

Very cold storm. Snowed at 9 degrees here. Ended up with 11”.

Yes, they have similarities in that they will both be cold.

30 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Heres my Analog

Screenshot_20260121_190627_Discord.jpg

Showing up in the cips analog list

Screenshot_20260121_185805_Chrome.jpg

Joshua RP’d this thing from a DC storm to Vermont storm. Dang impressive! 😂

Raaayyyyy

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