Sleet line getting scary close

Cold pressing hard

Heights pulling east at 75 hours as coastal is cranking

I don't want to sound like a weenie, but with that expanse of precip and no real dry slots that we can see (at least on the sim radars), I would not be surprised if higher QPFs turn out.

Just now, Analog1888 said:

I don't want to sound like a weenie, but with that expanse of precip and no real dry slots that we can see (at least on the sim radars), I would not be surprised if higher QPFs turn out.

the jet alone is going to crank this precip

10 inches in 4 hours is doable for someone

Sleet pushes north

Just now, nycsnow said:

Sleet pushes north

it's mostly over by then

the thump is legit

I don't think this will be the GFS, but it will be the better NAM run that we've seen to this point.

A comparison aloft of the two shows that the GFS is just stronger overall with both branches of energy. Also, heights along the EC are much lower.

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Looked a lot better early on but kind of crapped the bed.

Just now, nycsnow said:

Sleet pushes north

That batch of precip is almost over anyway.

So if you lose 0.10" of QPF to sleet, you get 0.3" of sleet instead of 1-1.5" of snow, not a huge deal.

yea, this really kicked north at the end

I'm surprised as confluence was stronger

let's see RGEM and RRFSA

Jesus sleet up to High Point

Would’ve thought the snowmap would be better with this much qpf