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Tracking Historic DC and Jersey Blizzard

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2 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Imagine after all this tracking it turns into a 3 inch storm to Asbury Park?

Told my Aunt in Asbury 4-8" there. Can't remember the last time being this much lower than NWS.

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6" with a layer of sleet with the cold temps coming is pretty damn awesome imo. Lay that down with minimal melting and hope to track more...

You guys sound like it’s over now- we have more models to look at!

The NBM had20” for Toms River and the 0Z NAM has 3”. We know that the NBM was overdone but 3” is ridiculous

Just now, goldalex said:

Icon running?

Crawling

The NAM barely formed a secondary this run, the primary was basically the main driver the entire time.

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1 minute ago, Sundog said:

The NAM barely formed a secondary this run, the primary was basically the main driver the entire time.

can't take that seriously in light of ALL the other guidance

need to take the entire 00z suite and blend

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

The 18z euro aifs eps etc were great runs

this is ONE nam run at an extended range

we need to see the entire 00z suite

Obviously... but I swore after the 12/26 debacle (where the NAM was the only model showing massive taint and it came to fruition) I'd never discount it

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1 minute ago, danstorm said:

Obviously... but I swore after the 12/26 debacle (where the NAM was the only model showing massive taint and it came to fruition) I'd never discount it

fair enough, but i'm gonna keep blending, i think it's smart forecasting

Confluence a bit stronger on the RGEM compared to 18z

image.png

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Just now, SnowMiser123 said:

Confluence a bit stronger on the RGEM compared to 18z

agree strongly

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