Just now, Sundog said:

I guess we need a Polar Vortex from Mars to keep a weak ***** low from surging northward.

Horrific; maybe Mike Masco 4-6 for city isn’t crazy after all

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

lol Brutal absolutely brutal trends

NYC gets 9 inches of snow..whats wrong with that?..you guys have to find another hobby

RGEM gives NYC 9 inches of snow and other parts of jersey close to a foot

STFU EVERYONE WHO IS BITCHING.

Just now, Keith P.A said:

NYC gets 9 inches of snow..whats wrong with that?..you guys have to find another hobby

The sleet line keeps trending north and faster. 3 days to go might be sleet fest by the time we get to Saturday’s models

I wouldn't be concerned about the meso models until 18z tomorrow.

1 minute ago, Sundog said:

I guess we need a Polar Vortex from Mars to keep a weak ***** low from surging northward.

Frank showed it well. There is a weakness between the 2 highs and somehow rhe weak L found it.

Just now, USAwx said:

RGEM gives NYC 9 inches of snow and other parts of jersey close to a foot

STFU EVERYONE WHO IS BITCHING.

EDIT. 11 INCHES NYC

1 minute ago, Sundog said:

I guess we need a Polar Vortex from Mars to keep a weak @ss low from surging northward.

It s bad luck the way the two big highs leave a little gap open just in time to f*** us.

Just now, Keith P.A said:

NYC gets 9 inches of snow..whats wrong with that?..you guys have to find another hobby

Most likely not 9 inches. If it is a lot of sleet it will be nowhere near that if the RGEM and NAM are correct of course.

Soundings @Sundog ?

1 minute ago, USAwx said:

RGEM gives NYC 9 inches of snow and other parts of jersey close to a foot

STFU EVERYONE WHO IS BITCHING.

Did you ever think you'd see a model take JFK above freezing with such a frigid air mass in place?

That's what the RGEM does.

Icon eps north now

Just now, nycsnow said:

The sleet line keeps trending north and faster. 3 days to go might be sleet fest by the time we get to Saturday’s models

We will all get a heavy snowfall...if its 13 or 10..3 inches don't mean that much..I doubt anyone is getting 1-2 feet. Its not that kind of system..relax and enjoy this man

RRFSA looking good

At any rate. I checked my soundings with the NAM and it drops an impressive V-day amount of 5” of sleet after 5 or 6” inches of snow. That would be an impressive event to see leaving about 8-9” of concrete.

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Soundings @Sundog ?

For RGEM warm layers start around 750mb and then get progressively worse as you go toward the end of the run.