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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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3 hours ago, Keith O said:

Looks like more than 1/2 of this is from the event it has on 2/11 so not much with the VDay weekend storm

Keeps going back and forth for vday between rain and snow, def a strong signal

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

Valentine’s Day/weekend is the next target.

GEFS are barking

image.png

Euro AI loves the 11th also

AiGFS and EURO ai lost vday at 18z but only one run

Sunday could see the lowest maximum temperature in Central Park in quite some time.

Saturday night in E Nassau and Suffolk County

There could be 3 inches of snow OTG

Temps close to 10 degrees

W 35mph gusts

17 minutes ago, tmagan said:

Sunday could see the lowest maximum temperature in Central Park in quite some time.

The EURO is like 10 degrees colder than the GFS and GGEM.

It was way too cold all of last week. I wouldn't believe it.

2 minutes ago, Sundog said:

The EURO is like 10 degrees colder than the GFS and GGEM.

It was way too cold all of last week. I wouldn't believe it.

I agree, but it is not the only one that has a cold bias. The UKMET has a low of negative ten degrees Fahrenheit Monday morning in Central Park.

ecmwf-aifs-ensemble-avg-east-total_snow_10to1-1480800.png

1 minute ago, tmagan said:

I agree, but it is not the only one that has a cold bias. The UKMET has a low of negative ten degrees Fahrenheit Monday morning in Central Park.

We all know that's not happening lol

Btw the Euro AI is more in line with the other models.

4 minutes ago, Sundog said:

The EURO is like 10 degrees colder than the GFS and GGEM.

It was way too cold all of last week. I wouldn't believe it.

It was off by 3 to 5 degrees.

Wasn't noticeable in a 20 day period of -15

AIFS ensembles love both threats

Last 20 days

cdas-all-east-t2m_f_anom_20day_back-0206400.png

Next 7

ecmwf-deterministic-ne-t2m_f_anom_7day-0789600.png

As intense an airmass you wil ever see

Going to go down as a historic 30 day period from departures in the NE

And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January.

Not too shabby.

Next period Feb 20 - March 10.

Going to run this winter BN wire to wire

November - March. Just crazy

One of the best days of skiing in Champion, PA today

20260204_121752.jpg

20260204_152313.jpg

19 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Going to go down as a historic 30 day period from departures in the NE

NYC is averaging 23.8 over the last 20 days...anything under 25.0 degrees for 30 days is very cold...

4 hours ago, jdarzinikas said:

Like the VDay storm potential. Has been showing up for at least a week

Marginal temps at coast

1 hour ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January.

Not too shabby.

Next period Feb 20 - March 10.

Going to run this winter BN wire to wire

November - March. Just crazy

Great call Ben Solo. Perpetual cold. +TNH did some dirty work again this winter. Many warm ups have been muted, kicked down the road , and or washed out. Interesting to see what happens over then next 10-15 days.

This winter is definitely an OG like late 70's growing up.

Saturday hopeful is appetizer Clipper for the Tuesday/Wednesday storm.

1 hour ago, heavysnow said:

Marginal temps at coast

Can be a tough place to live for a snow lover

nam-218-all-nystate-precip_12hr_inch-0476400.pngnam-218-all-nystate-t850-0476400.pngnam-218-all-nystate-precip_12hr_inch-0476400.png

nam-218-all-nystate-gust_mph-0476400.png

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