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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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Just now, supermeh said:

Euro ends it for the weekend.

Fun while it lasted. 12 hrs that is

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  • USAwx
    USAwx

    .

  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

1 minute ago, supermeh said:

Euro ends it for the weekend.

Euro is just a trash model these days. Aifs ensembles also trended south

22 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

image.png

Post

Ends what it’s days away!’n

1 minute ago, supermeh said:

Euro ends it for the weekend.

Damn. Was really hoping we were getting the storm so Steve the clown D was wrong

Just now, nycsnow said:

Damn. Was really hoping we were getting the storm so Steve the clown D was wrong

Lol

2 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Euro is just a trash model these days. Aifs ensembles also trended south

Not like it used to be that' for sure. This is a complicated setup so could come back-need that northern stream piece to phase in

    •
    • Like 3
    1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

    Damn. Was really hoping we were getting the storm so Steve the clown D was wrong

    Haven't read him in years...waste of time

    •
    • Like 1
    • Pray 1
    1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

    Not like it used to be that' for sure. This is a complicated setup so could come back-need that northern stream piece to phase in

    Yea, probably don’t even get properly sampled til Friday?

    Bring on spring these models are horrific from run to run

    I remember models used to sniff out storms weeks in advanced with daily consistency

    • Like 3
    Just now, nycsnow said:

    Yea, probably don’t even get properly sampled til Friday?

    Exactly. So could see it coming back in some form. If it misses that, then it's a whiff south-even a graze is no good-not cold enough a graze just gives us white rain or rain

    •
    • Like 2

    If it isn't snow give me a miss so we can get a more steady melt off.

    1 minute ago, FrankPizz said:

    If it isn't snow give me a miss so we can get a more steady melt off.

    a rainstorm would be horrendous right now

    •
    • Like 1
    2 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

    If it isn't snow give me a miss so we can get a more steady melt off.

    Wouldn't mind a warmer (40s) light rain event to help speed the melt off and start helping our long-term drought. Models look to be trending cooler in the mid-range at 12Z but take that with a huge grain of salt.

    Laughable change lol 12z vs 6z

    image.png

    image.png

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    • Facepalm 1

    Ai eps aren’t awful

    image.png

    •
    • Like 4

    Don't bet against the AIFS

    BTW the next snow is between the 20th - 10th

    Then bring on spring

    Maxed out at 44.6 degrees today down to 38 now. Felt great

    2 hours ago, Keith O said:

    Wouldn't mind a warmer (40s) light rain event to help speed the melt off and start helping our long-term drought. Models look to be trending cooler in the mid-range at 12Z but take that with a huge grain of salt.

    Trending cooler in themid-range has been the theme since November

    1 hour ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

    Don't bet against the AIFS

    BTW the next snow is between the 20th - 10th

    Then bring on spring

    Snow or snowy period?

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