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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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Tony what about the regular Euro?

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

2 minutes ago, Momouthweathet said:

Tony what about the regular Euro?

Coming out now

5 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

AI Euro further north

698e0cf2c6392.png

ughhh! This storm is driving me nuts.

698e0ec39d24e.png

EURO should be a bit better. Not sure if it will be enough, butyou can see the interaction with the northern stream

meh. not nearly enough.

698e103ff024f.png

Just now, jjvesnow said:

meh. not nearly enough.

698e103ff024f.png

Much better than 6z. Precip gets further north .

This weekends storm being slightly more stronger and north helps flatten heights for the 19th storm on this euro run.

Euro improved

Next 10d

ecmwf-aifs-all-ne-total_snow_10to1-1912800.png

26 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

AI Euro further north

698e0cf2c6392.png

It even has sufficient cold air.

Crazy the disagreements at 90 hours

Weird little blobs of snow

image.png

Ai euro ensembles is a nice hit

698e225058639.png

19 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Ai euro ensembles is a nice hit

698e225058639.png

Those two northern members could be skewing the mean a bit.

698e276bb8b5f.png

4 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Those two northern members could be skewing the mean a bit.

698e276bb8b5f.png

Rare for you to post such negativity lol

But you might be right. Though we don't know if those two members are just rainers and it's the other ones giving us snow.

Just now, Sundog said:

Rare for you to post such negativity lol

But you might be right. Though we don't know if those two members are just rainers and it's the other ones giving us snow.

Rainers for whom?

I like to be optimistic if i can, but remember. I was the one calling for a dry first half of February, and got crap for it.

5 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Rainers for whom?

I like to be optimistic if i can, but remember. I was the one calling for a dry first half of February, and got crap for it.

who would have predicted a grand total of .25 liquid or less for the 3 weeks following the 1/25 storm. Crazy stuff.

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

who would have predicted a grand total of .25 liquid or less for the 3 weeks following the 1/25 storm. Crazy stuff.

The ensembles were very dry through around this time period. I was always the second half of the month that should be different.

However, its awful to looks some of the prime time climo.

5 hours ago, Brian5671 said:
  1. We hit 80 that month.

And then the next month in march we had 4 nor’easters in Suffolk county including a 4-6” event in early April

1 hour ago, jjvesnow said:

The ensembles were very dry through around this time period. I was always the second half of the month that should be different.

However, its awful to looks some of the prime time climo.

Still looks dry as we head through next week....maybe some thing around 2/19-20 but that can has been kicked forward every few days

41 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Still looks dry as we head through next week....maybe some thing around 2/19-20 but that can has been kicked forward every few days

I see you have zero confidence in the EURO AI

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