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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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Icon was a hair away from a phase.

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

Euro

698eb9627e0db.png

Icon !

prateptype_cat_icon-imp.us_ne (1).png

prateptype_cat_icon-imp.us_ne (2).png

sn10_acc-imp.us_ne.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-t2m_f_anom_5day-2193600.pngecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-qpf_anom_5day_mm-2236800.png

Is this a second storm when the cold returns or will it be delayed as compared to yesterday showing 2.20?

Another cold morning in an incredible run of cold weather. Unless it rains the snowpack may just last until March.

The Euro AI really shitt the bed didn't it

11 minutes ago, Sundog said:

The Euro AI really shitt the bed didn't it

Yeah it did. But in fairness alllll models shit the bed on this setup.

Pretty crazy how bad they all were.

IMG_4527.jpegThis is an impressive record. Of course, some people will try to downplay it or make it less significant, but that’s BS. To set a record like this, especially in this warm decade is even more impressive.

This is like one of us hitting a soaking wet Clincher softball with a wooden bat 400 feet against the wind.

5 minutes ago, Andrew said:

IMG_4527.jpegThis is an impressive record. Of course, some people will try to downplay it or make it less significant, but that’s BS. To set a record like this, especially in this warm decade is even more impressive.

This is like one of us hitting a soaking wet Clincher softball with a wooden bat 400 feet against the wind.

I'm going to slightly downplay it lol only because Islip's records don't go back very far. Most (not all) of the really cold years were before the station became operational.

8 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Yeah it did. But in fairness alllll models shit the bed on this setup.

Pretty crazy how bad they all were.

It’s not done yet- I am sure we will have more changes

28 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

Yeah it did. But in fairness alllll models shit the bed on this setup.

Pretty crazy how bad they all were.

Go dry until proven otherwise

Sunny with highs near freezing today. We then turn a bit milder over the weekend with highs near average not too far from 40 degrees. A slight chance of some light snow by Sunday night before a nice warm-up toward the middle of next week. We will see highs well into the 40's. Rain chances increase again by Wednesday and we will trend colder again by next weekend.

image.png.da84a368a9fb17e8ef0ffca6246f20image.thumb.png.81e958182a701b12c5c7a6f9

4 hours ago, Metfan88 said:

Icon !

prateptype_cat_icon-imp.us_ne (1).png

prateptype_cat_icon-imp.us_ne (2).png

sn10_acc-imp.us_ne.png

This storm is cooked, put it to rest.

the ICON lol and an off hour run at that

1 hour ago, jjvesnow said:

Yeah it did. But in fairness alllll models shit the bed on this setup.

Pretty crazy how bad they all were.

I don't think the GFS or AIFS really ever bit that this would impact us, they consistently were south

7 minutes ago, Keith O said:

I don't think the GFS or AIFS really ever bit that this would impact us, they consistently were south

A week out yes there were some hits but once within 4-5 days no.

2 hours ago, Andrew said:

IMG_4527.jpegThis is an impressive record. Of course, some people will try to downplay it or make it less significant, but that’s BS. To set a record like this, especially in this warm decade is even more impressive.

This is like one of us hitting a soaking wet Clincher softball with a wooden bat 400 feet against the wind.

Absolutely agree, about the weather and clincher.

Gfs is slightly north

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_neus_fh66_trend (1).gif

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