Gfs was a nipple hair away

A little more digging needed

2 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Gfs is slightly north

4 minutes ago, Graupel said:

Gfs was a nipple hair away

Rooting for white rain!

3 hours ago, Sundog said:

I'm going to slightly downplay it lol only because Islip's records don't go back very far. Most (not all) of the really cold years were before the station became operational.

Well, you don’t have to do it for Islip because the same thing applies to New York City Central Park. I looked at every 6 inch snowfall since I was born in 1966 and even the foreign snow falls and nothing has lasted like this after the storm and with such dry conditions. This is by far the coldest stretch. we’ve have had after a snowstorm and it’s not even close and it’s been for a long time now.

It’s highly likely none of us will see this again in our lifetime.

19 minutes ago, Andrew said:

Well, you don’t have to do it for Islip because the same thing applies to New York City Central Park. I looked at every 6 inch snowfall since I was born in 1966 and even the foreign snow falls and nothing has lasted like this after the storm and with such dry conditions. This is by far the coldest stretch. we’ve have had after a snowstorm and it’s not even close and it’s been for a long time now.

It’s highly likely none of us will see this again in our lifetime.

Wait weren't you talking about longest stretches below 20 degrees for lows at Islip?

2 hours ago, Keith O said:

I don't think the GFS or AIFS really ever bit that this would impact us, they consistently were south

Aifs were a hit yesterday?

1 minute ago, FrankPizz said:

Aifs were a hit yesterday?

Euro AI was full on plowable event, no sure AIFS ever went there. Of course now 12z GFS brings accumulation to central NJ. All these models have problems, not sure how much we have progressed in last 5+ years.

A favorable pattern coming next week ?

Starting to see some puddles now, tomorrow and Sunday really should put a dent in the pack

47 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Wait weren't you talking about longest stretches below 20 degrees for lows at Islip?

Yes, I was talking about the temperature, but I also talk about the snowpack too and when you look at both, it really is impressive and one of the most impressive things I’ve seen during any winter.

This is another timeframe models are keying in on as well

Euro has a bit of light snow for the board Sunday night but not as far north as the AI

GRAF futurecast model for Sunday night

Very active pattern ahead

13 minutes ago, Graupel said:

Quite the flip flopper after being rock steady with our major snowstorm last month.

EPS also bumped north a bit