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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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Big 0z. Need a step forward

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    • Pray 2

    the Sunday storm will have a neg ao...-5sd to -2sd...a positive pna...+1sd...A slightly neg nao rising from negative...here are some storms with similar indices...right now we are going from a weak la nina to neutral neg...edited...

    snowstorm...date......AO......PNA......NAO......Enso/MEI....

    18" 02/06/1978...-3.014....1.188.....-0.093.....Weak El Nino
    18" 02/11/1983...-1.806....0.845.....-0.567.....El Nino
    20" 01/08/1996...-1.200....0.447.....-0.392.....Weak La Nina
    12" 12/30/2000...-2.354....1.075.....-0.537.....Weak La Nina
    19" 01/26/2011...-1.683....1.233.....-0.142.....La Nina

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    1 hour ago, VIRGAMAN said:

    selfish, us northerner's want this also, this is coming north🤣

    It wouldn't be the first or the last time

    2 minutes ago, USAwx said:

    Cips analogs from gfs

    Screenshot_20260127_205806_Chrome.jpg

    some big E's and some boobies...they got 1983 and 1996...both storms over 10" in 1996...right now the Jan 2022 storm looks good...hopefully we'll see it a little more closer than that...

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    5 minutes ago, USAwx said:

    Cips analogs from gfs

    Screenshot_20260127_205806_Chrome.jpg

    image.gif

    • Author

    Wow srefs already exploding at 87 hours

    Big 00z incoming

    f87 (20).gif

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    17695655893856578786932428622327.jpg

    westward lean

    1769566180174444500048074537893.jpg

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    17695664949917662861069228102062.png

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    • Thumbs Up 1

    image.png

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    1 hour ago, gkrangers said:

    I think we are gonna know by 12z tomorrow if its gonna break far enough west to support something like this...there is still plenty of time to trend either way, but we should know if its gonna hit or not pretty soon...then we can move on or sort out the details.

    I think if this storm is going to be as deep and as massive as modeling depicts, it will have a massive precip expanse’ larger than models are showing now at least until it occludes. Where that happens is key. But anywhere 50-100 mile NE of Hatteras even if 300mi off the coast, I believe it’s game on.

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    • Author

    Nam is much improved. Not surprised. The srefs were already getting going.

    Screenshot_20260127_213606_Chrome.jpg

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    • Author
    19 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

    image.png

    Yup they were really cooking already

    • Like 1

    image.png

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    1 hour ago, Graupel said:

    I’m feeling this. Seems like we get a Jan 18 Feb 22 every 4 years and it wants to snow.

    IMG_2275.jpeg

    I love seeing Graupel slap his balls on the table!

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    • Haha 2

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    https://www.usa-wx.com/forum/topic/8411-balance-of-january-and-all-of-february-with-a-hint-of-march-storm-tracking-thread/
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