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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

USAwx
USAwx
in Northeast Weather Discussion

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    • USAwx
      USAwx

      .

    • THE GREAT PB
      THE GREAT PB

      And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

    • Metfan88
      Metfan88

      Wife in labor

    1 minute ago, Graupel said:

    image.png

    Congrats ray

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    • Haha 2
    Just now, FrankPizz said:

    Congrats ray

    Not done ticking N phase was a little sloppy should have been 50mi north.

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    I'd like to see mesoscales get on board.

    GFS is an outlier, and it's notoriously bad w/ thermals.

    GFS has 11" down here. What a joke of a model.

    If we see 11", I will donate the board $200.

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    • Like 1
    3 minutes ago, nesussxwx said:

    I'd like to see mesoscales get on board.

    GFS is an outlier, and it's notoriously bad w/ thermals.

    Nam just came way north. This is a day away.

    Cmc is a miss but much further north than 12z

    11 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

    Still trending north to

    It can only go a little further north but not much!

    Where’s the cold air coming from on strong east wind and marginal temps.

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    • Like 2
    1 minute ago, Metfan88 said:

    Nam just came way north. This is a day away.

    The NAM is hours and hours of white rain for most of the forum. Are we seeing the same thing?

    Do you think hours of 31-33F w/ subliminal precipitation rates will amount to much in the city?

    3 minutes ago, Keith O said:

    Where’s the cold air coming from on strong east wind and marginal temps.

    Screenshot_20260213_231018_Discord.jpg

    3 minutes ago, Keith O said:

    Where’s the cold air coming from on strong east wind and marginal temps.

    Image 34 of 49

    2 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

    Screenshot_20260213_231018_Discord.jpg

    Avoid using the GFS for thermals. It will save you in the long run.

    3 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

    Screenshot_20260213_231018_Discord.jpg

    Plenty of cold

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    • Like 1
    Just now, nesussxwx said:

    Avoid using the GFS for thermals. It will save you in the long run.

    You will stick in the low 30s

    Verbatim, Winds look pretty NE to me and those ocean temps 100mi+ out are cold enough for marginal temps Just inland as NAM depicts. Regardless this is a very evolving situation. Could be nothing could be a foot.

    image.png

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    • Thanks 1
    24 minutes ago, nesussxwx said:

    GFS has 11" down here. What a joke of a model.

    If we see 11", I will donate the board $200.

    I've donated that much even when we're having a 2001-02 type winter.

    😁

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    • Like 1

    Ukie coming on board. Continues to trend favorably sn10_acc-imp.us_state_ne_s.png

    image.png

    AI euro improved

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