So far so good GFS

Trough a touch more neutral so far

Not sure it’ll make it but I think it’s better…

Just now, Frank_Wx said:

Trough a touch more neutral so far

Not sure it’ll make it but I think it’s better…

Much better

Still not gonna make it however

I like 500mb much better than 250mb. Took a step back at the highest level IMO. We need to see the jet parallel the coast. It’s steering OTS. But let’s see

Just cannot escape that kicker

.

Just now, USAwx said:

Much better

Absolutely! Less press from the southern extent of the 50/50 which is now positioned far enough North to impact the trough significantly less. Better north/south orientation of the northern extent of the trough.

Just now, USAwx said:

Just cannot escape that kicker

It’s slower though. If it slows any further it will continue to shift NW

Really doesn look like Juno

Almost tucked yet little precip. wtf

Weird looking precip field

Pretty big but for Jersey shore and Long Island

1 minute ago, Graupel said:

Almost tucked yet little precip. wtf

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Weird looking precip field

You don't have any forcing from the occluded low

This storms already annoying me…. But positive trends today for the most part. Hopefully tomorrow brings us home

3 minutes ago, Graupel said:

Almost tucked yet little precip. wtf

Dynamics are all offshore. Need 250mb to cooperate

3 minutes ago, USAwx said:

You don't have any forcing from the occluded low

Seems really fast to occlude but that makes sense it’s a bomb. My Weenieness got the best of me.

QPF looks suspicious on GFS. Again, S VA and Delmarva aren’t getting 24+, which causes me to believe that we will eventually see expansion of QPF north and west.

Gem has nothing

I think we have seen the most we can get from this.