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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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GEEZ GFS AI ens are crazy wet for this time period.

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

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2 minutes ago, jjvesnow said:

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Huge red flag

Wow. EPS is right there

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It just wants to snow this season. We are now not on the short end of the schtick(stick).

18 minutes ago, SnowMiser123 said:

Huge red flag

.

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Not sure why it’s missing NYC but it def snowed there.

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Australian model

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MJO going into COD

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28 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

MJO going into COD

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Someone have a cheat sheet of MJO phase to expected weather impacts for our area and what the lagtime is? Have no idea what are good/bad phases 🤨

Next weekend has legs

1 minute ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Next weekend has legs

Could push us over 50”. That would cap the + on an A winter.

7 minutes ago, Keith O said:

Someone have a cheat sheet of MJO phase to expected weather impacts for our area and what the lagtime is? Have no idea what are good/bad phases 🤨

Am thinking the way the 24th and after markers are charted are not where you'd want them to go if you want more wintry weather after whatever we get/if we get it at the end of next week.

1 minute ago, Graupel said:

Could push us over 50”. That would cap the + on an A winter.

Don’t jinx it.

Here comes the gfs

6 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Here comes the gfs

suppressed which is good at this lead time

6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

suppressed which is good at this lead time

Yep. Gfs ai is a big coastal hugger.

1 minute ago, Metfan88 said:

Yep. Gfs ai is a big coastal hugger.

Pretty consistent with that and it still gets cold enough to switch to snow… everything’s pretty much showing some sort of a storm now thank god

Big hit on the Euro AI

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