Deep Mind is east of 12z. Dont kid yourselves

39 minutes ago, Graupel said:

What’s cold? 25 or colder? March 22-23 2018 must have been close. That one was upper 20’s.

Great storm here in Suffolk. I think temps were upper teens that morning at ISP

1 hour ago, Graupel said:

ridge is fine just a pinch too east.

Yup similar problems yet again clearly depicted in that output. The stuff off the coast of eastern Maine flattens the trough ahead of the storm. More garbage crashing into Washington state/Oregon pushing the ridge axis too far east.

the 3/22/2018 storm was good on Staten Island...it snowed with marginal temps...12" accumulated on my truck and other exposed objects...it melted in two days...

this possible storm is following the model forecast script we have seen all winter...the last one gave me an inch...should I expect the same for this week's possibility?...

5 minutes ago, dbc said:

Yup similar problems yet again clearly depicted in that output. The stuff over eastern Maine flattens the trough ahead of the storm. More garbage crashing into Washington state/Oregon pushing the ridge axis too far east.

Yup 6z ridge axis is further West and confluence is further east off Maine Results here are near ideal for megalopolis MECS HECS.

2 minutes ago, uncle w said:

this possible storm is following the model forecast script we have seen all winter...the last one gave me an inch...should I expect the same for this week's possibility?...

Think we got flurries from the OBX MECS that pooped the bed for us at hr 120 a week after the SWFE.

Just now, Graupel said:

Think we got flurries from the OBX MECS that pooped the bed for us at hr 120 a week after the SWFE.

we had more than a few failed weekend storms...

Imho the threat is dead. Icon will lose it at 00z.

8 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Imho the threat is dead. Icon will lose it at 00z.

See ya next winter

3 minutes ago, FrankPizz said:

See ya next winter

Plenty of winter left.

We have had a an issue with the NS and SS connecting ALL winter long. Wave spacing has been the issue. 6 day out bomb by all models only to say nah sorry we were wrong. 2 simple parts the system Friday has to get out out off and up from Maine and create better wave spacing. The trough needs to anchor off the WC and allow the ridge to hold over Western Montana. Models may not get this until Thursday 12Z at best. EPS trend has been east NG but it along with all models have been putrid IMO this winter.

10 minutes ago, USAwx said:

Plenty of winter left.

If this weekend don’t hit you can forget about anything meaningful.

See you in December.

Lol icon literally has nothing.

Wow is the euro going to win here after being alone ? Its right when we dont want it to be right but when it shows something good its wrong.

Cant trust these models past 5 days. Icon now has nothing up here.

From 24 inches to 0 in 12 hours

Pac from hell

Just now, Metfan88 said:

Wow is the euro going to win here after being alone ? Its right when we dont want it to be right but when it shows something good its wrong.

Cant trust these models past 5 days. Icon now has nothing up here.

It was over last summer. Pac is a disaster

Id kill for your guy's winter. Im stuck at 61 degrees at 930 at nights with muddy rain and wildfires everywhere

3 minutes ago, Metfan88 said:

Wow is the euro going to win here after being alone ? Its right when we dont want it to be right but when it shows something good its wrong.

Cant trust these models past 5 days. Icon now has nothing up here.

Shame

You never really could trust models outside 5 days anyway when it comes to storm placement

AI, Shmay-I… atmosphere is chaotic