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Balance of January and all of February with a Hint of March Storm Tracking Thread

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B winter snowfall

A winter temps

A- winter snow cover (it’d be higher if the sleet didn’t ruin the top layer for three weeks… kids didn’t want to play on it, dog didn’t even want to go out in it)

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  • THE GREAT PB
    THE GREAT PB

    And your friend P. B. called Jan 15 - Feb 15 from early January. Not too shabby. Next period Feb 20 - March 10. Going to run this winter BN wire to wire November - March. Just crazy

  • Metfan88
    Metfan88

    Wife in labor

3 minutes ago, danstorm said:

B winter snowfall

A winter temps

A- winter snow cover (it’d be higher if the sleet didn’t ruin the top layer for three weeks… kids didn’t want to play on it, dog didn’t even want to go out in it)

Agreed on the grades. My dogs were fine in it. My kids too old, but my 19 year old built a massive snowman before the big storm and it finally lost its head today. I dont think ive ever seen a snowman stay together for 30+ days

4 minutes ago, danstorm said:

B winter snowfall

A winter temps

A- winter snow cover (it’d be higher if the sleet didn’t ruin the top layer for three weeks… kids didn’t want to play on it, dog didn’t even want to go out in it)

IDK how anyone in the northeast can give it less than a B. Snowcover and cold are how I judge winters. I could care less about big storms. I like the ground to have coverage and there to be cold temps.

lol brutal here we go! Gfs will be next to lose it in the next few minutes Barley a B winter.

Just now, Snowlover76 said:

IDK how anyone in the northeast can give it less than a B. Snowcover and cold are how I judge winters. I could care less about big storms. I like the ground to have coverage and there to be cold temps.

It’s an above average winter but if it ended today we’d be about average snowfall. Feb has been a major disappointment - a big storm this weekend would push me to an A.

Going back to when I moved to the area post grad school, 09-10, 10-11, 13-14, 14-15, 17-18, 20-21 all way better snow wise

Just now, danstorm said:

It’s an above average winter but if it ended today we’d be about average snowfall. Feb has been a major disappointment - a big storm this weekend would push me to an A.

Going back to when I moved to the area post grad school, 09-10, 10-11, 13-14, 14-15, 17-18, 20-21 all way better snow wise

That whole timeframe was an anomaly, though.

2 minutes ago, danstorm said:

It’s an above average winter but if it ended today we’d be about average snowfall. Feb has been a major disappointment - a big storm this weekend would push me to an A.

Going back to when I moved to the area post grad school, 09-10, 10-11, 13-14, 14-15, 17-18, 20-21 all way better snow wise

Id kill for an average winter. And you guys had a shit stretch so I dont get the complaints from some (not you) about only getting average snow.

Just now, Analog1888 said:

That whole timeframe was an anomaly, though.

Sure

Growing up, 92-93, 93-94, 95-96, 00-01, 02-03, 04-05 all better. That’s 12 out of my 45 years as better…

This winter is roughly average snowfall with well above average snow cover and well below normal temps

Of those factors, snowfall is what I care about most.

B

Just now, danstorm said:

Sure

Growing up, 92-93, 93-94, 95-96, 00-01, 02-03, 04-05 all better. That’s 12 out of my 45 years as better…

This winter is roughly average snowfall with well above average snow cover and well below normal temps

Of those factors, snowfall is what I care about most.

B

From 1978-79 to 1992-93, there was not a single well above normal snowfall winter.

Yeah all told this our 2nd best year this decade. 25-35” areawide.

image.png

Just now, danstorm said:

Sure

Growing up, 92-93, 93-94, 95-96, 00-01, 02-03, 04-05 all better. That’s 12 out of my 45 years as better…

This winter is roughly average snowfall with well above average snow cover and well below normal temps

Of those factors, snowfall is what I care about most.

B

Perhaps and I'd add 03-04 to your list of better. However, of the La Nina years we have seen the last 26 years, I thought this winter would be an 08-09 style winter with an outside shot at a 00-01 winter best case scenario. Regardless of the outcome with the Sunday/Monday storm we at least matched up closely to 08-09. Maybe not quite exactly there but it's similar with a colder lean than even 08-09 albeit a bit less snow for some.

2 minutes ago, Graupel said:

aigfs

image.png

Nice hit

5 minutes ago, Snowlover76 said:

Id kill for an average winter. And you guys had a shit stretch so I dont get the complaints from some (not you) about only getting average snow.

I’m at 10 ski days and heading to Banff in late March.

Sucks it’s been so bad out that way. Having appreciable snow cover for basically a month straight makes me more ready for the turning of the season

Gfs might be good judging off 500 but I’m also still learning snd not a pro so don’t put much stock into it 🤣

2 minutes ago, dbc said:

Perhaps and I'd add 03-04 to your list of better. However, of the La Nina years we have seen the last 26 years, I thought this winter would be an 08-09 style winter with an outside shot at a 00-01 winter best case scenario. Regardless of the outcome with the Sunday/Monday storm we at least matched up closely to 08-09. Maybe not quite exactly there but it's similar with a colder lean than even 08-09 albeit a bit less snow for some.

Yes 03-04 was better. You could argue 05-06 too (was in Boston and Dec 05 storm was sick)

08-09 was in State College where squalls are the most exciting winter events but I remember a nice 9 incher while home in Dec in CT

00-01 is a criminally underrated winter

10-11 was also a Nina and the best 5 week stretch you will ever see. Saw storms of 26”, 10”, 24”, then 14”. Epic

Check back tomorrow guys. This could be the typical range where the models lose it.

Night

38 minutes ago, USAwx said:

.

69945ab32acae.png

aigfs_mslp_pcpn_neus_25.png

ec-aifs_mslp_pcpn_neus_25 (3).png

20260216_130712.jpg

Just now, USAwx said:

AIFS ensembles look like poo now as well

this one is slipping away, literally.

way too much football spiking 7 days out.

1 minute ago, danstorm said:

08-09 was in State College where squalls are the most exciting winter events but I remember a nice 9 incher while home in Dec in CT

00-01 is a criminally underrated winter

10-11 was also a Nina and the best 5 week stretch you will ever see. Saw storms of 26”, 10”, 24”, then 14”. Epic

00-01 is underrated because of what happened March 5. If that storm was a big one, that winter would have been an a+

Nvm gfs sucks

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