2 minutes ago, Graupel said:

Ukie same as the others, even has the 1-3”

Norlun

We went from one extreme to the other in 12 hours. Hopefully things meet in middle at least tomorrow or trend a little better. Awful few runs

At this point bring on spring.

This winter trends have trended worst run to run. We went from bombs to wiff like Aaron Judge in the playoffs

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

We went from one extreme to the other in 12 hours. Hopefully things meet in middle at least tomorrow or trend a little better. Awful few runs

Naa this is cooked. Been this way all season. Only hope is for that norlun feature to

Overperform.

Models are atrocious bottom line. Glad I wasn’t taking last couple days serious. At least they didn’t keep the tease going until it was time to take things more serious.

Seems that we’ve been witnessing extreme solutions (ie: 20 in+) more regularly in the 120-180 hr time frame, especially on GFS, which has been unnerving. Much easier to stomach losing 6 in storm in several runs as opposed to 12+. Being truthful about this system, some of the modeling was absurd. 4 in QPF totals in SE PA and sub 970 mb SLP off NJ.

1 minute ago, BlizzardBill said:

Models are atrocious bottom line. Glad I wasn’t taking last couple days serious. At least they didn’t keep the tease going until it was time to take things more serious.

Yea that’s true. This will be a distant memory by Friday. Just sucks we’re running out of winter fast

There’s always the NBM to keep hopes and dreams alive

4 minutes ago, Castellanus said:

Seems that we’ve been witnessing extreme solutions (ie: 20 in+) more regularly in the 120-180 hr time frame, especially on GFS, which has been unnerving. Much easier to stomach losing 6 in storm in several runs as opposed to 12+. Being truthful about this system, some of the modeling was absurd. 4 in QPF totals in SE PA and sub 970 mb SLP off NJ.

Truthfully we see this almost every winter but this year has had so much 120 180 hr week to week bombs die at this time frame. Can’t remember that ever happening.

Only lasted 48 hours 😢

On 2/16/2026 at 11:22 PM, jsantabanyc said:

I just wished the gfs can stick to something . Sorry 😞

37 minutes ago, Graupel said:

Truthfully we see this almost every winter but this year has had so much 120 180 hr week to week bombs die at this time frame. Can’t remember that ever happening.

Euro is bad at 0z

When we need the euro last week it failed us but now every model has trended to it.

AIFS

Just now, Metfan88 said:

Euro is bad at 0z

When we need the euro last week it failed us but now every model has trended to it.

Dr No posted that last night lol

What did you guys expect 12-24” every run for the next 5-6 days? While I’m not very confident, it’s too early to be writing this one off completely

Im off the snowstorm idea

Cant waste time on it.

1 minute ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Im off the snowstorm idea

Cant waste time on it.

Its too early to jump ship

Nam and Rgem are slightly more amped than 0z

Yep 6z runs are worse. The wave to our north north ruins the big coastal . It lingers which dappens the heights. This had huge potential . Hopefully things change.

AIGFS Ots

Worst part is we knew this was coming eventually has happened all winter

7 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

AIGFS Ots

Worst part is we knew this was coming eventually has happened all winter

The stupid wave before this storm ruined it

So close, can go to the beach and wave to a blizzard