0Z KMA was a bit of an inside runner.

Edit: So was the NAVY NAVGEM as well.

6 hours ago, Metfan88 said:

Euro is bad at 0z

When we need the euro last week it failed us but now every model has trended to it.

Big red flag when it had nothing at 12z yesterday. Same ol pattern all winter !

1 hour ago, tmagan said:

0Z KMA was a bit of an inside runner.

Edit: So was the NAVY NAVGEM as well.

Can you or someone post the navy?

1 hour ago, tmagan said:

0Z KMA was a bit of an inside runner.

Edit: So was the NAVY NAVGEM as well.

Doesn’t the navy have to be over Buffalo to know that a threat is legit? I can’t remember….

We’ll get 1-3” out of this just like this last weekend.

21 minutes ago, Jefflaw77 said:

Doesn’t the navy have to be over Buffalo to know that a threat is legit? I can’t remember….

No it has a progressive bias.

14 days out...Hecs...

10 days out...mecs...

5 days out.....secs...

day of storm...P'cldy...

Way to early to give up on this one

Both eps and ai EPS are a little better

Unit sure who said AIFS was out to sea but you can’t read maps. It’s west of 00z

Nobody wants 6. We wanted 20

FWIW gefs a little bit west

6 would seem like a HECS after being largely shut out since 1/25

20 minutes ago, THE GREAT Ben Solo said:

Nobody wants 6. We wanted 20

What happen to that confidence?

Fog should slowly diminish later this morning. We should see some light rain across especially for spots north of the PA Turnpike this afternoon. Rain amounts look light with most spots less than 0.15". Today’s temperatures will be in the low 40's just about average for the date. Rain chances to ramp up again tomorrow night and especially Friday with more significant rain expected. Snow chances look to increase by Sunday but way too early to nail down specifics.

Ben Solo has had forty two 6” snowfalls this year. HECS or bust. I agree.

From Mike Masco and what I said last night.

1. Trough off WC if it moves East = Montana Ridge rolls east and bye bye

2. Wave separation between Fridays storm which creates the 50/50 and the new wave (Sun storm)to have space to come up the coast.

We won't know until probably 12Z Friday due to the Friday storm exit modeling? Time will tell.

Personally off hour model runs have been NG this winter.

19 minutes ago, amugs said:

From Mike Masco and what I said last night.

1. Trough off WC if it moves East = Montana Ridge rolls east and bye bye

2. Wave separation between Fridays storm which creates the 50/50 and the new wave (Sun storm)to have space to come up the coast.

We won't know until probably 12Z Friday due to the Friday storm exit modeling? Time will tell.

Personally off hour model runs have been NG this winter.

Same map different weekend same results .